National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.43 -1.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.33

National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.16B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.33 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 20% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (11)Macro (18)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$39 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE NESR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NESR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NESR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20% FCF Margin ($264.2M FCF) & 12.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$22.78-17.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$18.73+9.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$20.46+4.7% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$21.43+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NESR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, NESR faces multiple-compression risk if 42.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.89) or 200D SMA ($25.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.91) toward Bear Floor ($17.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NESR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NESR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4030 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.42>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $12$21.43H: $37
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (12% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NESR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

7.5% ROIC with 12.4% gross margin and 12.23% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.42 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NESR
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NESR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NESR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.79H $21.43L $20.61C $21.43VOL 1.48M
RES: $44.84SUP: $17.99SMA50: $27.89SMA200: $25.56
$38.46$32.17$25.89$19.60$13.32RES $44.84SUP $17.99$21.432026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NESR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NESR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NESR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NESR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NESR)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NESR vs. XPRO, WTTR, LBRT, HOS)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #116 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LBRT leads on earnings valuation at 19.2x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. NESR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NESR ACTIVE
National Energy Services Reunited Corp
C 63/100 42.3x 12.4% 7.5% -1.43% $2.16B Benchmark Subject
XPRO
Expro Ltd
D 49/100 — — — -1.48% $1.97B /xpro-vs-nesr →
WTTR
Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 130.0x 14.4% 2.1% +0.50% $2.76B /wttr-vs-nesr →
LBRT
Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A)
C 62/100 19.2x 20.9% 2.5% -1.14% $2.84B /lbrt-vs-nesr →
HOS
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
C 62/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% +1.27% $1.60B /hos-vs-nesr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001698514

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.32B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.1M, operating cash flow of $264.2M, and free cash flow of $264.2M (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NESR closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $191.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.42, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.32B $51.1M $264.2M $264.2M $1.85B $191.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.30B $76.3M $229.3M $229.3M $1.77B $254.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.15B $12.6M $177.0M $177.0M — —

3. NESR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NESR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NASDAQ: NESR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.43 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NESR ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NESR compare to XPRO and WTTR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NESR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 12.4%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, XPRO (Expro Ltd) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B) and WTTR (Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 130.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRT leads on earnings multiple (19.2x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NESR?

Per NESR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698514), National Energy Services Reunited Corp generated $1.32B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $264.2M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $191.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NESR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NESR last traded at $21.43 (-1.43% on volume of 1,240,827 shares), positioning the stock -23.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.89) and -16.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.56). Across its 52-week range of $11.84 to $36.94, NESR sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.75 to $24.11).

NESR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NESR stock right now?

National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 12% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 42x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NESR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NESR's 12-month base price target is $21.91 (range $17.09 to $38.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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