MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NESR Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$21.43 -1.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.33
National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.16B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.33 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 20% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NESR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NESR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20% FCF Margin ($264.2M FCF) & 12.4% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$22.78-17.8% Next Q
71
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$18.73+9.2% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$20.46+4.7% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C$21.43+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NESR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, NESR faces multiple-compression risk if 42.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.89) or 200D SMA ($25.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.91) toward Bear Floor ($17.09).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NESR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NESR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NESR Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) slipped -1.43% to $21.43, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($11.84 – $36.94). Solid 12% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 42x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($11.84 – $36.94) with RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $21.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 12.4% gross margin and $264.2M annual free cash flow.
Live NESR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NESR Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NESR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.79H $21.43L $20.61C $21.43VOL 1.48M
RES: $44.84SUP: $17.99SMA50: $27.89SMA200: $25.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NESR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NESR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NESR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NESR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NESR)
Energy Rank #79 of 211
⚔️ XPRO vs NESR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NESR vs. XPRO, WTTR, LBRT, HOS)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #116 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LBRT leads on earnings valuation at 19.2x trailing P/E, while NESR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 12.4% gross margin. NESR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NESR
ACTIVE
National Energy Services Reunited Corp | C | 63/100 | 42.3x | 12.4% | 7.5% | -1.43% | $2.16B | Benchmark Subject |
| XPRO Expro Ltd | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -1.48% | $1.97B | /xpro-vs-nesr → |
| WTTR Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A) | D- | 39/100 | 130.0x | 14.4% | 2.1% | +0.50% | $2.76B | /wttr-vs-nesr → |
| LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. (Class A) | C | 62/100 | 19.2x | 20.9% | 2.5% | -1.14% | $2.84B | /lbrt-vs-nesr → |
| HOS Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. | C | 62/100 | 51.7x | 12.3% | 3.5% | +1.27% | $1.60B | /hos-vs-nesr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001698514In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.32B (+1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.1M, operating cash flow of $264.2M, and free cash flow of $264.2M (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, NESR closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $191.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.42, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.32B | $51.1M | $264.2M | $264.2M | $1.85B | $191.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.30B | $76.3M | $229.3M | $229.3M | $1.77B | $254.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.15B | $12.6M | $177.0M | $177.0M | — | — |
3. NESR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NESR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NASDAQ: NESR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.43 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NESR ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NESR compare to XPRO and WTTR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NESR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.3x, gross margin of 12.4%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, XPRO (Expro Ltd) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B) and WTTR (Select Water Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 130.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $2.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LBRT leads on earnings multiple (19.2x) while NESR leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NESR?
Per NESR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698514), National Energy Services Reunited Corp generated $1.32B in revenue (+1.7% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $264.2M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $191.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NESR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NESR last traded at $21.43 (-1.43% on volume of 1,240,827 shares), positioning the stock -23.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.89) and -16.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.56). Across its 52-week range of $11.84 to $36.94, NESR sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.75 to $24.11).
NESR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NESR stock moving today?
Why NESR Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 12% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 42x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.