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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GHG / earnings
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GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.94 -5.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $99.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GHG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.94 (-5.03% 1D, market cap $99.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #531 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $165.4M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $305.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?
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Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93 (-1.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (6)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE GHG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.49 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$0.97-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$0.94+5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$0.99-5.1% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$0.94-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GHG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.01) and Max Pain ($0.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.12 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.94$1.06 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GHG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $0.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: -14.7%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$156.9M$23.9M$2.9M34.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$184.1M$15.1M$40.2M38.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$229.2M$37.9M$64.1M34.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GHG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.97H $0.99L $0.94C $0.94VOL 53.2K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.88SMA50: $1.01SMA200: $1.19
$1.83$1.58$1.33$1.08$0.83RES $1.04SUP $0.88$0.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GHG Butterfly Map → + Track GHG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #531 of 1011 ⚔️ MSC vs GHG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GHG vs. MSC, PUSA, CVEO, FLL)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) ranks #531 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #758 by equity capitalization ($99.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHG ACTIVE
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share
D+ 52/100 4.2x 34.9% 85.0% -5.03% $99.9M Benchmark Subject
MSC
Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)
E 28/100 — — 2.3% -0.10% $165.4M /msc-vs-ghg →
PUSA
Powerus Corporation
E 26/100 — — -22.8% -6.63% $305.6M /pusa-vs-ghg →
CVEO
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
E 30/100 — 23.7% 0.9% +17.74% $315.8M /cveo-vs-ghg →
FLL
Full House Resorts Inc.
E 21/100 — 93.3% 0.6% +3.35% $29.3M /fll-vs-ghg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001724755

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) reported GAAP revenue of $156.9M (-14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $184.1M , and -31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.9M, operating cash flow of $40.2M, and free cash flow of $2.9M (-92.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHG closed FY2025 with $684.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $156.9M $23.9M $40.2M $2.9M $684.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $184.1M $15.1M $51.2M $40.2M $677.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $229.2M $37.9M $64.1M $64.1M — —

3. GHG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (NYSE: GHG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.94 (-5.03% 1D, market cap $99.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GHG ranks #531 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHG compare to MSC and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), GHG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.2x, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MSC (Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.3%, cap $165.4M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $305.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHG?

Per GHG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001724755), GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share generated $156.9M in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $23.9M in net income, and $2.9M in free cash flow against $684.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHG last traded at $0.94 (-5.03% on volume of 67,995 shares), positioning the stock -6.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.01) and -21.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.19). Across its 52-week range of $0.91 to $2.04, GHG sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.06).

GHG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GHG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GHG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for GHG, spanning a range between $1 and $1.06.

Direct Sub-Reports: GHG RQD Cockpit GHG 12M Forecast GHG Earnings & Move GHG Dividends & DRIP GHG Insiders & 13F GHG Whale Options GHG Profit Sankey GHG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GHG — GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T14:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) carries a composite score of 52/100 (D+ — Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) at a current price of $0.94 (-5.03%). Fundamental cash generation scores 8/20 (ROIC 85.0%, FCF yield 2.88%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 6/20, insider conviction scores 17/20, macro regime alignment scores 9/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 12/20 (Altman Z-Score 0.49, Piotroski F-Score 7/9).

Investor Implication: At 4.2x trailing P/E and 3.9x forward P/E within Hotels/Resorts, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (5.2%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $0.91 – $2.04.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), GHG is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin 34.9%), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

GHG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GHG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.94?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GHG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.07 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GHG (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $0.99?

Welcome to the GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.83 (-16.2%)
Spot @ $0.99

Pump the brakes on GHG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GHG, but look at what you are paying: 4.2x trailing P/E with 34.9% gross margins. Unless GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.18 (+19.2%)
Spot @ $0.99

GHG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GHG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.99 (52-wk range $0.91 - $2.04), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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