Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GCO / financials

SHOE (65) CTRN (63) DBI (62) LE (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Genesco Inc. (GCO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$37.76 +1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.82

Genesco Inc. (GCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $408.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.82 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.56 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$36.51+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$37.10-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$36.99+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$37.76-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, GCO faces multiple-compression risk if 31.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 43.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.18) or 200D SMA ($33.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.42) toward Bear Floor ($29.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GCO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$83.7M (3.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.32B

FY24

Rev $2.33B

FY25

Rev $2.44B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.44B	46.3%	0.7%	$13.0M	$83.7M	2.9%
FY 2024	$2.33B	47.2%	0.6%	-$19.0M	$46.8M	2.1%
FY 2023	$2.32B	46.3%	-0.6%	-$17.0M	$94.8M	2.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCO)

✓Walkthrough of GCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $38.31H $38.31L $37.04C $37.76VOL 143.0K

RES: $37.76SUP: $32.69SMA50: $35.18SMA200: $33.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCO Butterfly Map → + Track GCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #516 of 1011 ⚔️ SHOE vs GCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GCO vs. SHOE, CTRN, DBI, LE)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Genesco Inc. (GCO) ranks #516 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #609 by equity capitalization ($408.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. LE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with GCO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCO ACTIVE Genesco Inc.	D+	56/100	31.4x	46.3%	2.9%	+1.92%	$408.6M	Benchmark Subject
SHOE Shoe Station Group Inc.	C	65/100	7.8x	36.6%	9.2%	+4.29%	$409.7M	/shoe-vs-gco →
CTRN Citi Trends Inc.	C	63/100	77.8x	—	2.6%	+6.94%	$404.8M	/ctrn-vs-gco →
DBI Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	—	43.6%	16.4%	+7.09%	$347.6M	/dbi-vs-gco →
LE Lands' End Inc.	C+	68/100	52.6x	48.7%	7.9%	+4.03%	$289.5M	/le-vs-gco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000018498

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Genesco Inc. (GCO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.0M, operating cash flow of $145.8M, and free cash flow of $83.7M (+79.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCO closed FY2025 with $1.39B in total assets against $3.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.56, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$2.44B	$13.0M	$145.8M	$83.7M	$1.39B	$3.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$2.33B	-$19.0M	$87.9M	$46.8M	$1.34B	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$2.32B	-$17.0M	$94.8M	$94.8M	—	—

3. GCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Genesco Inc. (NYSE: GCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $37.76 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $408.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCO ranks #516 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCO compare to SHOE and CTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.4x, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 2.9%. By comparison, SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $409.7M) and CTRN (Citi Trends Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 77.8x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $404.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCO?

Per GCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000018498), Genesco Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $13.0M in net income, and $83.7M in free cash flow against $1.39B in total assets and $3.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCO last traded at $37.76 (+1.92% on volume of 127,301 shares), positioning the stock +7.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($35.18) and +12.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.60). Across its 52-week range of $21.93 to $43.60, GCO sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($35.04 to $40.48).