Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GCO / earnings

SHOE (65) CTRN (63) DBI (62) LE (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Genesco Inc. (GCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.2% Move

$37.76 +1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.82

Genesco Inc. (GCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $408.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.82 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.56 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$36.51+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$37.10-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$36.99+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$37.76-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, GCO faces multiple-compression risk if 31.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 43.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.18) or 200D SMA ($33.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.42) toward Bear Floor ($29.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.2% Swing Band

±$2.72 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $1.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.8%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$2.44B	$13.0M	$83.7M	46.3%
FY 2024	2025-02-01	$2.33B	-$19.0M	$46.8M	47.2%
FY 2023	2024-02-03	$2.32B	-$17.0M	$94.8M	46.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCO)

✓Walkthrough of GCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $38.31H $38.31L $37.04C $37.76VOL 143.0K

RES: $37.76SUP: $32.69SMA50: $35.18SMA200: $33.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCO Butterfly Map → + Track GCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #516 of 1011 ⚔️ SHOE vs GCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GCO vs. SHOE, CTRN, DBI, LE)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Genesco Inc. (GCO) ranks #516 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #609 by equity capitalization ($408.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. LE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with GCO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCO ACTIVE Genesco Inc.	D+	56/100	31.4x	46.3%	2.9%	+1.92%	$408.6M	Benchmark Subject
SHOE Shoe Station Group Inc.	C	65/100	7.8x	36.6%	9.2%	+4.29%	$409.7M	/shoe-vs-gco →
CTRN Citi Trends Inc.	C	63/100	77.8x	—	2.6%	+6.94%	$404.8M	/ctrn-vs-gco →
DBI Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	—	43.6%	16.4%	+7.09%	$347.6M	/dbi-vs-gco →
LE Lands' End Inc.	C+	68/100	52.6x	48.7%	7.9%	+4.03%	$289.5M	/le-vs-gco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000018498

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Genesco Inc. (GCO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+4.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.0M, operating cash flow of $145.8M, and free cash flow of $83.7M (+79.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCO closed FY2025 with $1.39B in total assets against $3.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.56, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$2.44B	$13.0M	$145.8M	$83.7M	$1.39B	$3.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$2.33B	-$19.0M	$87.9M	$46.8M	$1.34B	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$2.32B	-$17.0M	$94.8M	$94.8M	—	—

3. GCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Genesco Inc. (NYSE: GCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $37.76 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $408.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCO ranks #516 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCO compare to SHOE and CTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GCO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.4x, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 2.9%. By comparison, SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $409.7M) and CTRN (Citi Trends Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 77.8x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $404.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCO?

Per GCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000018498), Genesco Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+4.8% YoY), $13.0M in net income, and $83.7M in free cash flow against $1.39B in total assets and $3.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCO last traded at $37.76 (+1.92% on volume of 127,301 shares), positioning the stock +7.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($35.18) and +12.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.60). Across its 52-week range of $21.93 to $43.60, GCO sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($35.04 to $40.48).

GCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GCO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Genesco Inc. (GCO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is GCO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.2% event move for GCO, spanning a range between $35.04 and $40.48.

Direct Sub-Reports: GCO RQD Cockpit GCO 12M Forecast GCO Earnings & Move GCO Dividends & DRIP GCO Insiders & 13F GCO Whale Options GCO Profit Sankey GCO News & Why