Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) (CVLG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$28.82 -0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) (CVLG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $731.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$52 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVLG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±8.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CVLG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CVLG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVLG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CVLG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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CVLG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $33.09H $33.09L $28.82C $28.82VOL 353.7K
RES: $57.94SUP: $27.66SMA50: $32.92SMA200: $34.02
$51.66$44.29$36.93$29.57$22.20RES $57.94SUP $27.66$28.822026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVLG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVLG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVLG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVLG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVLG)

Industrials Rank #327 of 485 ⚔️ HTLD vs CVLG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CVLG vs. HTLD, MRTN, ULH, WERN)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) (CVLG) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #278 by equity capitalization ($731.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRTN leads on earnings valuation at 55.1x trailing P/E, while MRTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MRTN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CVLG at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CVLG ACTIVE
Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 101.0x — 0.4% -0.52% $731.4M Benchmark Subject
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc.
D 44/100 — — -5.1% +1.87% $802.7M /htld-vs-cvlg →
MRTN
Marten Transport Ltd.
C 65/100 55.1x — 2.5% +0.86% $960.3M /mrtn-vs-cvlg →
ULH
Universal Logistics Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -4.2% +2.23% $459.3M /ulh-vs-cvlg →
WERN
Werner Enterprises Inc.
D 45/100 — — 0.4% +1.84% $1.66B /wern-vs-cvlg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000928658

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) (CVLG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $113.6M, and free cash flow of -$33.9M (-12.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVLG closed FY2025 with $1.05B in total assets against $234.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $7.2M $113.6M -$33.9M $1.05B $234.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $35.9M $122.9M -$30.1M $997.6M $187.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $55.2K $84.8M $84.8M — —

3. CVLG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVLG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CVLG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $28.82 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $731.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CVLG ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVLG compare to HTLD and MRTN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), CVLG carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 101.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, HTLD (Heartland Express Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.1%, cap $802.7M) and MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.1x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $960.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRTN leads on earnings multiple (55.1x) while MRTN leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVLG?

Per CVLG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000928658), Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $7.2M in net income, and -$33.9M in free cash flow against $1.05B in total assets and $234.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVLG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVLG last traded at $28.82 (-0.52% on volume of 217,000 shares), positioning the stock -12.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.92) and -15.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.02). Across its 52-week range of $18.00 to $49.88, CVLG sits at the 33.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($26.49 to $31.15).

CVLG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CVLG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CVLG.

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