Vehicle systems manufacturer Commercial Vehicle Group (NASDAQ:CVGI) will be reporting earnings this Monday after the bell. Here’s what investors should know.
Why CVGI Stock slipped -1.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (CVGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is CVGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CVGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-1.22% 1D, market cap $131.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CVGI ranks #808 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does CVGI compare to CAAS and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CVGI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.5%, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVGI?
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Per CVGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001290900), Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. generated $649.0M in revenue (-10.3% YoY), -$20.5M in net income, and $34.0M in free cash flow against $391.7M in total assets and $104.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.2% FCF Margin ($34.0M FCF) & 10.5% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 2.08 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVGI Turnaround Squeeze
While CVGI currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.00) and Max Pain ($3.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.17.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CVGI Stock slipped -1.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (CVGI) slipped -1.22% to $3.23, trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($1.29 – $5.88). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($1.29 – $5.88) with RSI-14 at 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.6% around $3.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 10.5% gross margin and $34.0M annual free cash flow.
A stock with low volatility can be reassuring, but it doesn’t always mean strong long-term performance. Investors who prioritize stability may miss out on higher-reward opportunities elsewhere.
NEW ALBANY, Ohio, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Commercial Vehicle Group (the “Company” or “CVG”) (NASDAQ: CVGI) will hold its quarterly conference call on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET, to discuss third
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVGI)
- ✓Walkthrough of CVGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CVGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVGI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVGI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CVGI vs. CAAS, SRI, MPAA, STRT)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (CVGI) ranks #808 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #737 by equity capitalization ($131.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CVGI at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVGI
ACTIVE
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 10.5% | -0.2% | -1.22% | $131.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share | D+ | 53/100 | — | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.04% | $130.3M | /caas-vs-cvgi → |
| SRI Stoneridge Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 19.9% | -24.1% | +0.83% | $174.0M | /sri-vs-cvgi → |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | 20.2% | 21.6% | -3.29% | $195.0M | /mpaa-vs-cvgi → |
| STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION | C+ | 67/100 | 12.5x | 16.5% | 15.2% | +0.63% | $256.6M | /strt-vs-cvgi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001290900In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (CVGI) reported GAAP revenue of $649.0M (-10.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $723.4M , and -22.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.5M, operating cash flow of $44.6M, and free cash flow of $34.0M (+165.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVGI closed FY2025 with $391.7M in total assets against $104.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.08, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $649.0M | -$20.5M | $44.6M | $34.0M | $391.7M | $104.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $723.4M | -$35.7M | -$33.5M | -$52.0M | $424.6M | $127.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $835.5M | $49.4M | $38.3M | $38.3M | — | — |
3. CVGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CVGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CVGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-1.22% 1D, market cap $131.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CVGI ranks #808 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CVGI compare to CAAS and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CVGI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.5%, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVGI?
Per CVGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001290900), Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. generated $649.0M in revenue (-10.3% YoY), -$20.5M in net income, and $34.0M in free cash flow against $391.7M in total assets and $104.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CVGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CVGI last traded at $3.23 (-1.22% on volume of 267,751 shares), positioning the stock +7.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.00) and -7.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.51). Across its 52-week range of $1.29 to $5.88, CVGI sits at the 42.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($2.86 to $3.60).
CVGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CVGI stock moving today?
Why CVGI Stock slipped -1.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.