Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LIDR

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AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.04 +0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $48.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04 (-0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LIDR SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.04-17.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.86+15.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.99+5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.04-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIDR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LIDR currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.13) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIDR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LIDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.04H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LIDR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LIDR

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIDR)

✓Walkthrough of LIDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LIDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.02%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $1.00H $1.04L $0.97C $1.04VOL 321.6K

RES: $1.03SUP: $0.70SMA50: $1.13SMA200: $1.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LIDR Butterfly Map → + Track LIDR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #857 of 1011 ⚔️ XOS vs LIDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LIDR vs. XOS, CAAS, CVGI, MCRP)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) ranks #857 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #815 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIDR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CAAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 19.0% gross margin. MCRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LIDR at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LIDR ACTIVE AEye Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	+0.97%	$48.5M	Benchmark Subject
XOS Xos Inc.	D+	53/100	—	5.9%	-35.0%	-2.21%	$37.7M	/xos-vs-lidr →
CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share	D+	53/100	—	19.0%	16.3%	-2.04%	$130.3M	/caas-vs-lidr →
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.	D-	41/100	—	10.5%	-0.2%	-1.22%	$131.2M	/cvgi-vs-lidr →
MCRP Micropolis AI Robotics	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.91%	$17.2M	/mcrp-vs-lidr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001818644

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported GAAP revenue of $233.0K (+15.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $202.0K , and -84.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.8M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIDR closed FY2025 with $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$233.0K	-$34.0M	-$27.8M	-$27.9M	$90.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$202.0K	-$35.5M	-$26.6M	-$27.1M	$27.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.5M	-$87.1M	-$50.7M	-$50.7M	—	—

3. LIDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #857 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LIDR compare to XOS and CAAS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.7M) and CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?

Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LIDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIDR last traded at $1.04 (+0.97% on volume of 218,118 shares), positioning the stock -7.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.13) and -32.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.53). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $3.05, LIDR sits at the 10.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

LIDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LIDR stock right now?

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LIDR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LIDR's 12-month base price target is $0.95 (range $0.74 to $3.2), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: LIDR RQD Cockpit LIDR 12M Forecast LIDR Earnings & Move LIDR Dividends & DRIP LIDR Insiders & 13F LIDR Whale Options LIDR Profit Sankey LIDR News & Why