AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
While LIDR currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.13) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) advanced +0.97% to $1.04, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($0.81 – $3.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
PLEASANTON, Calif., October 22, 2026--AEye, Inc. (Nasdaq: LIDR), a global leader in software-defined, high-performance lidar solutions, today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +15.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIDR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) ranks #857 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #815 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIDR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CAAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 19.0% gross margin. MCRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LIDR at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR
ACTIVE
AEye Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +0.97% | $48.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| XOS Xos Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 5.9% | -35.0% | -2.21% | $37.7M | /xos-vs-lidr → |
| CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share | D+ | 53/100 | — | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.04% | $130.3M | /caas-vs-lidr → |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 10.5% | -0.2% | -1.22% | $131.2M | /cvgi-vs-lidr → |
| MCRP Micropolis AI Robotics | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.91% | $17.2M | /mcrp-vs-lidr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported GAAP revenue of $233.0K (+15.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $202.0K , and -84.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.8M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIDR closed FY2025 with $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $233.0K | -$34.0M | -$27.8M | -$27.9M | $90.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $202.0K | -$35.5M | -$26.6M | -$27.1M | $27.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.5M | -$87.1M | -$50.7M | -$50.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #857 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.7M) and CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
LIDR last traded at $1.04 (+0.97% on volume of 218,118 shares), positioning the stock -7.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.13) and -32.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.53). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $3.05, LIDR sits at the 10.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).
Why LIDR Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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