Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LIDR / options

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AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.99 -4.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.98

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $48.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LIDR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (-4.87% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #946 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LIDR compare to XOS and CAAS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.7M) and CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?

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Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.98 (-1.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LIDR SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.02-15.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.86+15.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.99+0% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.99-10.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIDR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LIDR currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.13) and Max Pain ($1.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIDR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LIDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LIDR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LIDR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIDR)

✓Walkthrough of LIDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LIDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.23%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $1.03H $1.04L $0.99C $0.99VOL 218.1K

RES: $1.02SUP: $0.69SMA50: $1.13SMA200: $1.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LIDR Butterfly Map → + Track LIDR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #946 of 1011 ⚔️ XOS vs LIDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LIDR vs. XOS, CAAS, CVGI, MCRP)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) ranks #946 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #815 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIDR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CAAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 19.0% gross margin. XOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LIDR at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LIDR ACTIVE AEye Inc. (Class A)	E	25/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-4.87%	$48.5M	Benchmark Subject
XOS Xos Inc.	D+	56/100	—	5.9%	-35.0%	+2.64%	$37.7M	/xos-vs-lidr →
CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share	D	49/100	—	19.0%	16.3%	-0.46%	$130.3M	/caas-vs-lidr →
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.	D-	43/100	—	10.5%	-0.2%	-2.17%	$131.2M	/cvgi-vs-lidr →
MCRP Micropolis AI Robotics	D	49/100	—	—	—	-8.05%	$17.2M	/mcrp-vs-lidr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001818644

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported GAAP revenue of $233.0K (+15.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $202.0K , and -84.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.8M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIDR closed FY2025 with $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$233.0K	-$34.0M	-$27.8M	-$27.9M	$90.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$202.0K	-$35.5M	-$26.6M	-$27.1M	$27.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.5M	-$87.1M	-$50.7M	-$50.7M	—	—

3. LIDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LIDR compare to XOS and CAAS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?

Where is LIDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIDR last traded at $0.99 (-4.87% on volume of 322,363 shares), positioning the stock -12.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.13) and -34.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.52). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $3.05, LIDR sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.11).