AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.04 +0.97% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $48.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04 (-0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (12)SEC (5)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LIDR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LIDR SCORES 38/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 10% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$1.04-17.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$0.86+15.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$0.99+5.1% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.04-7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (30) β†’ D- (38)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIDR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LIDR currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.13) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.20.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIDRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLIDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $26,413

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $475/yr
$11.0K
Yr 1
$12.1K
Yr 2
$13.4K
Yr 3
$14.7K
Yr 4
$16.3K
Yr 5
$17.9K
Yr 6
$19.7K
Yr 7
$21.7K
Yr 8
$24.0K
Yr 9
$26.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIDR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LIDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LIDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.02%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $1.00H $1.04L $0.97C $1.04VOL 321.6K
RES: $1.03SUP: $0.70SMA50: $1.13SMA200: $1.53
$2.62$2.13$1.64$1.15$0.66RES $1.03SUP $0.70$1.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LIDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIDR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #857 of 1011 βš”οΈ XOS vs LIDR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LIDR vs. XOS, CAAS, CVGI, MCRP)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) ranks #857 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #815 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIDR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CAAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 19.0% gross margin. MCRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LIDR at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LIDR ACTIVE
AEye Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% +0.97% $48.5M Benchmark Subject
XOS
Xos Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” 5.9% -35.0% -2.21% $37.7M /xos-vs-lidr β†’
CAAS
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share
D+ 53/100 β€” 19.0% 16.3% -2.04% $130.3M /caas-vs-lidr β†’
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 10.5% -0.2% -1.22% $131.2M /cvgi-vs-lidr β†’
MCRP
Micropolis AI Robotics
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.91% $17.2M /mcrp-vs-lidr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001818644

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) reported GAAP revenue of $233.0K (+15.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $202.0K , and -84.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.8M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIDR closed FY2025 with $90.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $233.0K -$34.0M -$27.8M -$27.9M $90.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $202.0K -$35.5M -$26.6M -$27.1M $27.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.5M -$87.1M -$50.7M -$50.7M β€” β€”

3. LIDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LIDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AEye Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LIDR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LIDR ranks #857 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LIDR compare to XOS and CAAS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), LIDR carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XOS (Xos Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.7M) and CAAS (China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.3%, cap $130.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIDR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CAAS leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIDR?

Per LIDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001818644), AEye Inc. (Class A) generated $233.0K in revenue (+15.3% YoY), -$34.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $90.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LIDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LIDR last traded at $1.04 (+0.97% on volume of 218,118 shares), positioning the stock -7.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.13) and -32.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.53). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $3.05, LIDR sits at the 10.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

LIDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does LIDR pay a dividend and is it safe?

AEye Inc. (Class A) (LIDR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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