Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.87 +2.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$22 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BXMT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BXMT.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BXMT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BXMT
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BXMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $10.78H $11.02L $10.72C $10.87VOL 7.78M
RES: $11.27SUP: $9.48SMA50: $12.24SMA200: $16.70
$20.16$17.44$14.72$12.00$9.28RES $11.27SUP $9.48$10.872026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXMT)

Financials Rank #350 of 1096 ⚔️ FRMI vs BXMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BXMT vs. FRMI, ARR, DHC, RLJ)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) ranks #350 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #445 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BXMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BXMT ACTIVE
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.
C 64/100 16.7x — 3.1% +2.94% $1.83B Benchmark Subject
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 34/100 — — -20.4% -5.30% $1.83B /frmi-vs-bxmt →
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.
C 63/100 5.9x — 14.3% +0.95% $1.90B /arr-vs-bxmt →
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust of
D- 36/100 — — -17.2% +2.18% $1.93B /dhc-vs-bxmt →
RLJ
RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value
D+ 53/100 67.9x — 1.3% +1.68% $1.94B /rlj-vs-bxmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001061630

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $109.6M, operating cash flow of $275.9M, and free cash flow of $275.9M (-24.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXMT closed FY2025 with $20.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $109.6M $275.9M $275.9M $20.00B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$204.1M $366.5M $366.5M $19.80B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $246.6M $458.8M $458.8M — —

3. BXMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.87 (+2.94% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BXMT ranks #350 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXMT compare to FRMI and ARR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BXMT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, FRMI (Fermi Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.4%, cap $1.83B) and ARR (ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXMT?

Per BXMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061630), Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $109.6M in net income, and $275.9M in free cash flow against $20.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXMT last traded at $10.87 (+2.94% on volume of 7,749,609 shares), positioning the stock -11.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.24) and -34.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $10.12 to $20.67, BXMT sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($10.05 to $11.69).

BXMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BXMT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BXMT.

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