Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.90 -0.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.45B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARCO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARCO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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ARCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.89H $6.90L $6.71C $6.90VOL 2.19M
RES: $8.16SUP: $6.31SMA50: $7.73SMA200: $8.21
$9.44$8.69$7.94$7.19$6.44RES $8.16SUP $6.31$6.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #482 of 1011 ⚔️ WEN vs ARCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARCO vs. WEN, SG, BJRI, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) ranks #482 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #464 by equity capitalization ($1.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. BJRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ARCO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARCO ACTIVE
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% -0.29% $1.45B Benchmark Subject
WEN
Wendy's Company
D+ 58/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +1.34% $1.37B /wen-vs-arco →
SG
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 — — -35.0% +1.51% $1.36B /sg-vs-arco →
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C 65/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% +4.58% $1.35B /bjri-vs-arco →
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
C 65/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% +2.23% $1.62B /cbrl-vs-arco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001508478

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.68B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.47B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $212.1M, operating cash flow of $296.3M, and free cash flow of $15.0M (+124.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCO closed FY2025 with $3.89B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.10, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.68B $212.1M $296.3M $15.0M $3.89B $1.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.47B $148.8M $266.8M -$60.8M $2.89B $716.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.33B $181.3M $382.0M $382.0M — —

3. ARCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ARCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $6.90 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $1.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARCO ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARCO compare to WEN and SG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARCO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.9x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, WEN (Wendy's Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B) and SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCO?

Per ARCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001508478), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $4.68B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $212.1M in net income, and $15.0M in free cash flow against $3.89B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARCO last traded at $6.90 (-0.29% on volume of 1,785,955 shares), positioning the stock -10.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.73) and -15.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.21). Across its 52-week range of $6.67 to $9.75, ARCO sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($6.38 to $7.42).

ARCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARCO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ARCO.

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