Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ARCO / insiders

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Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Are ARCO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARCO leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

$6.90 -0.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.45B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARCO Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

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▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARCO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARCO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

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ARCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.89H $6.90L $6.71C $6.90VOL 2.19M

RES: $8.16SUP: $6.31SMA50: $7.73SMA200: $8.21

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARCO Butterfly Map → + Track ARCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #482 of 1011 ⚔️ WEN vs ARCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARCO vs. WEN, SG, BJRI, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) ranks #482 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #464 by equity capitalization ($1.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. BJRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ARCO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARCO ACTIVE Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	6.9x	96.0%	18.9%	-0.29%	$1.45B	Benchmark Subject
WEN Wendy's Company	D+	58/100	8.3x	63.6%	10.7%	+1.34%	$1.37B	/wen-vs-arco →
SG Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)	E	22/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.51%	$1.36B	/sg-vs-arco →
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc.	C	65/100	27.6x	74.7%	10.7%	+4.58%	$1.35B	/bjri-vs-arco →
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc	C	65/100	34.9x	69.0%	5.4%	+2.23%	$1.62B	/cbrl-vs-arco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001508478

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (ARCO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.68B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.47B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $212.1M, operating cash flow of $296.3M, and free cash flow of $15.0M (+124.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCO closed FY2025 with $3.89B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.10, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.68B	$212.1M	$296.3M	$15.0M	$3.89B	$1.13B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.47B	$148.8M	$266.8M	-$60.8M	$2.89B	$716.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.33B	$181.3M	$382.0M	$382.0M	—	—

3. ARCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ARCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $6.90 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $1.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARCO ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARCO compare to WEN and SG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARCO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.9x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, WEN (Wendy's Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B) and SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCO?

Per ARCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001508478), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $4.68B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $212.1M in net income, and $15.0M in free cash flow against $3.89B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARCO last traded at $6.90 (-0.29% on volume of 1,785,955 shares), positioning the stock -10.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.73) and -15.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.21). Across its 52-week range of $6.67 to $9.75, ARCO sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($6.38 to $7.42).

ARCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ARCO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARCO leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARCO RQD Cockpit ARCO 12M Forecast ARCO Earnings & Move ARCO Dividends & DRIP ARCO Insiders & 13F ARCO Whale Options ARCO Profit Sankey ARCO News & Why