MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why ADNT Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.35 +0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.33
Adient plc (ADNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.34B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.33 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADNT SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.1% FCF Margin ($449.0M FCF) & 6.6% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$17.42+3% Next Q
58
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$17.94-7.4% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$16.61+4.5% Next Q
53
CurrentGrade D$17.35-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADNT Turnaround Squeeze
While ADNT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.98) and Max Pain ($18.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.69.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ADNT Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Adient plc (ADNT) advanced +0.52% to $17.35, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($15.91 – $27.32). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($15.91 – $27.32) with RSI-14 at 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $17.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 6.6% gross margin and $449.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ADNT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADNT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ADNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $17.30H $17.50L $16.53C $17.35VOL 1.54M
RES: $18.05SUP: $15.36SMA50: $17.98SMA200: $20.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ADNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADNT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADNT)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #638 of 1011
⚔️ DCH vs ADNT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADNT vs. DCH, THRM, VC, APOG)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adient plc (ADNT) ranks #638 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #475 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ADNT at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADNT
ACTIVE
Adient plc | D | 50/100 | — | 6.6% | -16.2% | +0.52% | $1.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| DCH Dauch Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | 12.1% | 2.2% | +1.84% | $1.19B | /dch-vs-adnt → |
| THRM Gentherm Inc | C | 65/100 | — | 24.2% | 8.7% | -2.89% | $1.69B | /thrm-vs-adnt → |
| VC Visteon Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | — | 14.1% | 0.0% | +1.12% | $1.81B | /vc-vs-adnt → |
| APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 17.7x | 22.7% | 9.2% | +2.39% | $957.0M | /apog-vs-adnt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001670541In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Adient plc (ADNT) reported GAAP revenue of $14.54B (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.69B , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$281.0M, operating cash flow of $449.0M, and free cash flow of $449.0M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADNT closed FY2025 with $8.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $14.54B | -$281.0M | $449.0M | $449.0M | $8.77B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $14.69B | $18.0M | $543.0M | $543.0M | $8.53B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $15.39B | $205.0M | $667.0M | $667.0M | — | — |
3. ADNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ADNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Adient plc (NYSE: ADNT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $17.35 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADNT ranks #638 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ADNT compare to DCH and THRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ADNT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.6%, and ROIC of -16.2%. By comparison, DCH (Dauch Corporation) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.19B) and THRM (Gentherm Inc) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.7%, cap $1.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADNT?
Per ADNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001670541), Adient plc generated $14.54B in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$281.0M in net income, and $449.0M in free cash flow against $8.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ADNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ADNT last traded at $17.35 (+0.52% on volume of 1,171,113 shares), positioning the stock -3.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.98) and -15.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.56). Across its 52-week range of $15.91 to $27.32, ADNT sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($15.88 to $18.82).
ADNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ADNT stock moving today?
Why ADNT Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.