Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SMP

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Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$38.25 +0.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.24

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $854.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.25 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMP SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 77.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$36.67+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$36.95+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$37.27+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$38.25+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, SMP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.71) or 200D SMA ($38.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.45) toward Bear Floor ($30.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)

77.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.27>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE34% OF RANGE

L: $34$38.25H: $46

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on SMP

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

8.6% ROIC with 31.2% gross margin and 2.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.27 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

28/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SMP

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SMP Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.35%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $41.40H $43.52L $38.25C $38.25VOL 303.7K

RES: $43.49SUP: $33.96SMA50: $37.71SMA200: $38.57

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMP Butterfly Map → + Track SMP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #287 of 1011 ⚔️ APOG vs SMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SMP vs. APOG, AEVA, DCH, ADNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) ranks #287 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #530 by equity capitalization ($854.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with SMP at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMP ACTIVE Standard Motor Products Inc.	C	65/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+0.98%	$854.5M	Benchmark Subject
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	/apog-vs-smp →
AEVA Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	23/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.02%	$692.9M	/aeva-vs-smp →
DCH Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	/dch-vs-smp →
ADNT Adient plc	D	50/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+0.52%	$1.34B	/adnt-vs-smp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000093389

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+22.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +31.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.2M, operating cash flow of $57.4M, and free cash flow of $18.7M (-42.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMP closed FY2025 with $2.00B in total assets against $566.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.79B	$42.2M	$57.4M	$18.7M	$2.00B	$566.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.46B	$28.5M	$76.7M	$32.7M	$1.81B	$535.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.36B	$34.4M	$144.3M	$144.3M	—	—

3. SMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Standard Motor Products Inc. (NYSE: SMP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $38.25 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $854.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMP ranks #287 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMP compare to APOG and AEVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SMP carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M) and AEVA (Aeva Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $692.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMP?

Per SMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093389), Standard Motor Products Inc. generated $1.79B in revenue (+22.4% YoY), $42.2M in net income, and $18.7M in free cash flow against $2.00B in total assets and $566.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMP last traded at $38.25 (+0.98% on volume of 138,808 shares), positioning the stock +1.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.71) and -0.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.57). Across its 52-week range of $34.27 to $46.00, SMP sits at the 33.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 77.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($36.18 to $40.32).

SMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SMP stock right now?

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 31% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is SMP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SMP's 12-month base price target is $39.45 (range $30.77 to $48.3), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMP RQD Cockpit SMP 12M Forecast SMP Earnings & Move SMP Dividends & DRIP SMP Insiders & 13F SMP Whale Options SMP Profit Sankey SMP News & Why