Gentherm Inc (THRM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$32.20 -2.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.97

Gentherm Inc (THRM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.97 (-0.71%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$51 Bull$33 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE THRM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THRM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THRM SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.1% FCF Margin ($61.1M FCF) & 24.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$29.68-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$29.04-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$28.60+12.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$32.20+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the THRM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, THRM faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.54) or 200D SMA ($33.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($33.21) toward Bear Floor ($25.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THRM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THRM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.81>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE
L: $25$32.20H: $48
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (24% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on THRM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

8.7% ROIC with 24.2% gross margin and 3.62% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 3.81 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like THRM
  • ✓Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (THRM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
THRM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.98%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $31.61H $32.20L $30.46C $32.20VOL 1.43M
RES: $50.54SUP: $24.69SMA50: $34.54SMA200: $33.95
$49.96$43.28$36.60$29.92$23.24RES $50.54SUP $24.69$32.202026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THRM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THRM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THRM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #282 of 1011 ⚔️ VC vs THRM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (THRM vs. VC, ADNT, PHIN, LCII)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gentherm Inc (THRM) ranks #282 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #441 by equity capitalization ($1.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while LCII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 23.8% gross margin. PHIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with THRM at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THRM ACTIVE
Gentherm Inc
C 65/100 — 24.2% 8.7% -2.89% $1.69B Benchmark Subject
VC
Visteon Corporation
C+ 66/100 — 14.1% 0.0% +1.12% $1.81B /vc-vs-thrm →
ADNT
Adient plc
D 50/100 — 6.6% -16.2% +0.52% $1.34B /adnt-vs-thrm →
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
B 74/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +5.86% $2.24B /phin-vs-thrm →
LCII
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +1.41% $2.41B /lcii-vs-thrm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000903129

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gentherm Inc (THRM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.50B (+2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +2.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $116.8M, and free cash flow of $61.1M (+68.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, THRM closed FY2025 with $1.40B in total assets against $189.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.81, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.50B $0 $116.8M $61.1M $1.40B $189.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.46B $0 $109.6M $36.3M $1.25B $220.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.47B $0 $119.3M $119.3M — —

3. THRM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gentherm Inc (NASDAQ: THRM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $32.20 (-2.89% 1D, market cap $1.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, THRM ranks #282 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THRM compare to VC and ADNT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), THRM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.2%, and ROIC of 8.7%. By comparison, VC (Visteon Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $1.81B) and ADNT (Adient plc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while LCII leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THRM?

Per THRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000903129), Gentherm Inc generated $1.50B in revenue (+2.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $61.1M in free cash flow against $1.40B in total assets and $189.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THRM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THRM last traded at $32.20 (-2.89% on volume of 2,790,172 shares), positioning the stock -6.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.54) and -5.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.95). Across its 52-week range of $25.31 to $48.35, THRM sits at the 29.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.17 to $36.23).

THRM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell THRM stock right now?

Gentherm Inc (THRM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 24% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is THRM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

THRM's 12-month base price target is $33.21 (range $25.9 to $50.77), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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