Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ADNT / financials

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Adient plc (ADNT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$17.35 +0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.33

Adient plc (ADNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.33 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADNT SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.1% FCF Margin ($449.0M FCF) & 6.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$17.42+3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$17.94-7.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$16.61+4.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$17.35-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADNT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ADNT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.98) and Max Pain ($18.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ADNT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$449.0M (3.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $15.39B

FY24

Rev $14.69B

FY25

Rev $14.54B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$14.54B	6.6%	0%	-$281.0M	$449.0M	-16.2%
FY 2024	$14.69B	6.3%	0%	$18.0M	$543.0M	-16.2%
FY 2023	$15.39B	8%	0%	$205.0M	$667.0M	-16.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADNT)

✓Walkthrough of ADNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ADNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $17.30H $17.50L $16.53C $17.35VOL 1.54M

RES: $18.05SUP: $15.36SMA50: $17.98SMA200: $20.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADNT Butterfly Map → + Track ADNT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADNT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #638 of 1011 ⚔️ DCH vs ADNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADNT vs. DCH, THRM, VC, APOG)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adient plc (ADNT) ranks #638 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #475 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ADNT at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADNT ACTIVE Adient plc	D	50/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+0.52%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
DCH Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	/dch-vs-adnt →
THRM Gentherm Inc	C	65/100	—	24.2%	8.7%	-2.89%	$1.69B	/thrm-vs-adnt →
VC Visteon Corporation	C+	66/100	—	14.1%	0.0%	+1.12%	$1.81B	/vc-vs-adnt →
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	/apog-vs-adnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001670541

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Adient plc (ADNT) reported GAAP revenue of $14.54B (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.69B , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$281.0M, operating cash flow of $449.0M, and free cash flow of $449.0M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADNT closed FY2025 with $8.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$14.54B	-$281.0M	$449.0M	$449.0M	$8.77B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$14.69B	$18.0M	$543.0M	$543.0M	$8.53B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$15.39B	$205.0M	$667.0M	$667.0M	—	—

3. ADNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Adient plc (NYSE: ADNT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $17.35 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADNT ranks #638 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADNT compare to DCH and THRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ADNT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.6%, and ROIC of -16.2%. By comparison, DCH (Dauch Corporation) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.19B) and THRM (Gentherm Inc) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.7%, cap $1.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADNT?

Per ADNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001670541), Adient plc generated $14.54B in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$281.0M in net income, and $449.0M in free cash flow against $8.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADNT last traded at $17.35 (+0.52% on volume of 1,171,113 shares), positioning the stock -3.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.98) and -15.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.56). Across its 52-week range of $15.91 to $27.32, ADNT sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($15.88 to $18.82).