MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why VTS Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.30 +0.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.27
Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $770.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.27 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 62.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VTS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.12 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$17.28+5.6% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$18.25+0% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$18.25+0.3% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D+$18.30-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, VTS faces multiple-compression risk if 30.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.56) or 200D SMA ($17.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.22) toward Bear Floor ($14.21).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VTS Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) advanced +0.11% to $18.30, trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($15 – $22.91). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($15 – $22.91) with RSI-14 at 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $18.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $170.3M annual free cash flow.
Live VTS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VTS)
- ✓Walkthrough of VTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.45%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $18.44H $18.49L $18.25C $18.30VOL 493.8K
RES: $19.17SUP: $17.07SMA50: $17.56SMA200: $17.99
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTS)
Energy Rank #114 of 211
⚔️ GRNT vs VTS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VTS vs. GRNT, OBE, WHK, GPRK)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) ranks #114 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #145 by equity capitalization ($770.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. VTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTS
ACTIVE
Vitesse Energy Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 30.5x | — | 2.2% | +0.11% | $770.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.8% | -0.34% | $763.7M | /grnt-vs-vts → |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $779.4M | /obe-vs-vts → |
| WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 7.4% | -2.26% | $802.5M | /whk-vs-vts → |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.64% | $702.2M | /gprk-vs-vts → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001944558In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) reported GAAP revenue of $274.0M (+13.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $242.0M , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.3M, operating cash flow of $170.3M, and free cash flow of $170.3M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTS closed FY2025 with $893.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $274.0M | $25.3M | $170.3M | $170.3M | $893.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $242.0M | $21.1M | $155.0M | $155.0M | $810.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $233.9M | -$19.7M | $141.9M | $141.9M | — | — |
3. VTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Vitesse Energy Inc. (NYSE: VTS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $18.30 (+0.11% 1D, market cap $770.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VTS ranks #114 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VTS compare to GRNT and OBE in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VTS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $763.7M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTS?
Per VTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001944558), Vitesse Energy Inc. generated $274.0M in revenue (+13.2% YoY), $25.3M in net income, and $170.3M in free cash flow against $893.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VTS last traded at $18.30 (+0.11% on volume of 324,235 shares), positioning the stock +4.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.56) and +1.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.99). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $22.91, VTS sits at the 41.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($17.46 to $19.14).
VTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VTS stock moving today?
Why VTS Stock advanced +0.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.