Geopark Ltd (GPRK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.82 -1.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $702.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$14 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE GPRK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPRK SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$11.54+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$11.76+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$11.78-8.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$10.82-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPRK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPRK currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.14) and Max Pain ($11.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE63% OF RANGE
L: $7$10.82H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GPRK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GPRK
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPRK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GPRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GPRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $10.71H $10.92L $10.68C $10.82VOL 673.5K
RES: $13.91SUP: $9.33SMA50: $11.14SMA200: $9.78
$13.52$11.92$10.32$8.72$7.12RES $13.91SUP $9.33$10.822026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPRK)

Energy Rank #149 of 211 ⚔️ EGY vs GPRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GPRK vs. EGY, GRNT, VTS, OBE)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geopark Ltd (GPRK) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #147 by equity capitalization ($702.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while GRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with GPRK at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPRK ACTIVE
Geopark Ltd
D 50/100 — — — -1.64% $702.2M Benchmark Subject
EGY
VAALCO Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -4.2% -1.40% $666.9M /egy-vs-gprk →
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources Inc.
D+ 57/100 31.3x — 3.8% -0.34% $763.7M /grnt-vs-gprk →
VTS
Vitesse Energy Inc.
D+ 57/100 30.5x — 2.2% +0.11% $770.5M /vts-vs-gprk →
OBE
Obsidian Energy Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.93% $779.4M /obe-vs-gprk →

2. GPRK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $702.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GPRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Geopark Ltd (NYSE: GPRK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $10.82 (-1.64% 1D, market cap $702.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPRK ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPRK compare to EGY and GRNT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPRK carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EGY (VAALCO Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.2%, cap $666.9M) and GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $763.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRK?

For Geopark Ltd (GPRK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #149 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPRK last traded at $10.82 (-1.64% on volume of 863,307 shares), positioning the stock -2.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.14) and +10.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.78). Across its 52-week range of $6.84 to $13.13, GPRK sits at the 63.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($10.00 to $11.64).

GPRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GPRK stock right now?

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GPRK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GPRK's 12-month base price target is $10.43 (range $8.14 to $13.79), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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