Stock Ratings / Energy / GPRK / earnings

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Geopark Ltd (GPRK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$10.82 -1.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $702.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GPRK SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$11.54+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.76+0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.78-8.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.82-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPRK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPRK currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.14) and Max Pain ($11.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GPRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$0.82 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GPRK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPRK)

✓Walkthrough of GPRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GPRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.71H $10.92L $10.68C $10.82VOL 673.5K

RES: $13.91SUP: $9.33SMA50: $11.14SMA200: $9.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPRK Butterfly Map → + Track GPRK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPRK)

Energy Rank #149 of 211 ⚔️ EGY vs GPRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GPRK vs. EGY, GRNT, VTS, OBE)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Geopark Ltd (GPRK) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #147 by equity capitalization ($702.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while GRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with GPRK at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GPRK ACTIVE Geopark Ltd	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.64%	$702.2M	Benchmark Subject
EGY VAALCO Energy Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-4.2%	-1.40%	$666.9M	/egy-vs-gprk →
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc.	D+	57/100	31.3x	—	3.8%	-0.34%	$763.7M	/grnt-vs-gprk →
VTS Vitesse Energy Inc.	D+	57/100	30.5x	—	2.2%	+0.11%	$770.5M	/vts-vs-gprk →
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.93%	$779.4M	/obe-vs-gprk →

2. GPRK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Geopark Ltd (GPRK) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $702.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GPRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Geopark Ltd (NYSE: GPRK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $10.82 (-1.64% 1D, market cap $702.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GPRK ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPRK compare to EGY and GRNT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GPRK carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EGY (VAALCO Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.2%, cap $666.9M) and GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $763.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while GRNT leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPRK?

For Geopark Ltd (GPRK), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #149 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPRK last traded at $10.82 (-1.64% on volume of 863,307 shares), positioning the stock -2.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.14) and +10.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.78). Across its 52-week range of $6.84 to $13.13, GPRK sits at the 63.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($10.00 to $11.64).

GPRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GPRK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Geopark Ltd (GPRK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is GPRK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for GPRK, spanning a range between $10 and $11.64.

Direct Sub-Reports: GPRK RQD Cockpit GPRK 12M Forecast GPRK Earnings & Move GPRK Dividends & DRIP GPRK Insiders & 13F GPRK Whale Options GPRK Profit Sankey GPRK News & Why