Stock Ratings / Energy / VTS / financials

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Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$18.30 +0.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.27

Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $770.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.27 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 62.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VTS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.12 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$17.28+5.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$18.25+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$18.25+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$18.30-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, VTS faces multiple-compression risk if 30.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.56) or 200D SMA ($17.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.22) toward Bear Floor ($14.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How VTS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$170.3M (62.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $233.9M

FY24

Rev $242.0M

FY25

Rev $274.0M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$274.0M	52%	6.3%	$25.3M	$170.3M	2.2%
FY 2024	$242.0M	52%	16.9%	$21.1M	$155.0M	6.5%
FY 2023	$233.9M	52%	14.9%	-$19.7M	$141.9M	2.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VTS)

✓Walkthrough of VTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.45%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $18.44H $18.49L $18.25C $18.30VOL 493.8K

RES: $19.17SUP: $17.07SMA50: $17.56SMA200: $17.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VTS Butterfly Map → + Track VTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTS)

Energy Rank #114 of 211 ⚔️ GRNT vs VTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VTS vs. GRNT, OBE, WHK, GPRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) ranks #114 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #145 by equity capitalization ($770.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while WHK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. VTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VTS ACTIVE Vitesse Energy Inc.	D+	57/100	30.5x	—	2.2%	+0.11%	$770.5M	Benchmark Subject
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources Inc.	D+	57/100	31.3x	—	3.8%	-0.34%	$763.7M	/grnt-vs-vts →
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.93%	$779.4M	/obe-vs-vts →
WHK WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A)	D	50/100	—	—	7.4%	-2.26%	$802.5M	/whk-vs-vts →
GPRK Geopark Ltd	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.64%	$702.2M	/gprk-vs-vts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001944558

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS) reported GAAP revenue of $274.0M (+13.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $242.0M , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.3M, operating cash flow of $170.3M, and free cash flow of $170.3M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTS closed FY2025 with $893.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$274.0M	$25.3M	$170.3M	$170.3M	$893.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$242.0M	$21.1M	$155.0M	$155.0M	$810.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$233.9M	-$19.7M	$141.9M	$141.9M	—	—

3. VTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Vitesse Energy Inc. (NYSE: VTS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $18.30 (+0.11% 1D, market cap $770.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VTS ranks #114 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VTS compare to GRNT and OBE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VTS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, GRNT (Granite Ridge Resources Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 31.3x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $763.7M) and OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while WHK leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTS?

Per VTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001944558), Vitesse Energy Inc. generated $274.0M in revenue (+13.2% YoY), $25.3M in net income, and $170.3M in free cash flow against $893.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VTS last traded at $18.30 (+0.11% on volume of 324,235 shares), positioning the stock +4.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.56) and +1.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.99). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $22.91, VTS sits at the 41.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($17.46 to $19.14).

VTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Vitesse Energy Inc. (VTS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), VTS converted $274.0M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 6.3% operating margin, and $170.3M in free cash flow (62.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: VTS RQD Cockpit VTS 12M Forecast VTS Earnings & Move VTS Dividends & DRIP VTS Insiders & 13F VTS Whale Options VTS Profit Sankey VTS News & Why