Vital Farms Inc. (VITL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.18 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
While VITL currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.78) and Max Pain ($9.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.57.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Vital Farms Inc. (VITL) advanced +0.43% to $9.29, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($7.95 – $38.64). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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In the closing of the recent trading day, Vital Farms (VITL) stood at $8.95, denoting a -2.08% move from the preceding trading day.
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AUSTIN, Texas, October 23, 2026--Vital Farms (Nasdaq: VITL) announced today the pilot launch of Vital Farms Free-Range eggs, which are expected to arrive in select Target retail stores across the South and Southeast begi
Zacks.com users have recently been watching Vital Farms (VITL) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +25.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VITL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VITL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vital Farms Inc. (VITL) ranks #98 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #87 by equity capitalization ($398.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VITL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while VITL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.1% ROIC and 37.6% gross margin. LWAY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with VITL at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VITL
ACTIVE
Vital Farms Inc. | D | 48/100 | 6.0x | 37.6% | 23.1% | +0.43% | $398.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| LWAY Lifeway Foods Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 25.3x | 27.4% | 15.9% | +1.84% | $350.8M | /lway-vs-vitl → |
| AFRI Forafric Global PLC | E | 21/100 | — | 10.4% | -16.5% | -0.08% | $340.6M | /afri-vs-vitl → |
| OTLY Oatly Group AB | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -6.54% | $255.3M | /otly-vs-vitl → |
| OFRM Once Upon a Farm PBC | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -1.72% | $670.6M | /ofrm-vs-vitl → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Vital Farms Inc. (VITL) reported GAAP revenue of $759.4M (+25.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $606.3M , and +60.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $66.3M, operating cash flow of $33.7M, and free cash flow of -$48.2M (-233.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, VITL closed FY2025 with $518.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.18, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $759.4M | $66.3M | $33.7M | -$48.2M | $518.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $606.3M | $53.4M | $64.8M | $36.2M | $359.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $471.9M | $25.6M | $50.9M | $50.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Vital Farms Inc. (NASDAQ: VITL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $9.29 (+0.43% 1D, market cap $398.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, VITL ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), VITL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.0x, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 23.1%. By comparison, LWAY (Lifeway Foods Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $350.8M) and AFRI (Forafric Global PLC) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.5%, cap $340.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VITL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while VITL leads on capital efficiency (23.1% ROIC).
Per VITL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001579733), Vital Farms Inc. generated $759.4M in revenue (+25.3% YoY), $66.3M in net income, and -$48.2M in free cash flow against $518.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
VITL last traded at $9.29 (+0.43% on volume of 967,081 shares), positioning the stock -5.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.78) and -33.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.00). Across its 52-week range of $7.95 to $38.64, VITL sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.13 to $10.45).
Why VITL Stock advanced +0.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.