Stock Ratings / Financials / VAC / options

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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$115.75 +3.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.19

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $3.98B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.19 (+0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VAC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$105.34+5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$110.93-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$109.31+5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$115.75-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VAC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($106.42) and Max Pain ($121.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $137.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (VAC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for VAC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VAC)

✓Walkthrough of VAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.74%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $116.7H $116.9L $113.8C $115.8VOL 370.6K

RES: $113.0SUP: $99.64SMA50: $106.4SMA200: $86.33

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VAC Butterfly Map → + Track VAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VAC)

Financials Rank #979 of 1096 ⚔️ MRP vs VAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VAC vs. MRP, CURB, CIGI, VTMX)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) ranks #979 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #313 by equity capitalization ($3.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRP leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while CIGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CIGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with VAC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VAC ACTIVE Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation	D-	40/100	—	—	-15.5%	+3.17%	$3.98B	Benchmark Subject
MRP Millrose Properties Inc.	C	65/100	11.4x	—	5.3%	+2.88%	$4.34B	/mrp-vs-vac →
CURB Curbline Properties Corp.	D+	58/100	87.5x	—	2.1%	+2.42%	$3.49B	/curb-vs-vac →
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	C+	69/100	—	—	22.1%	+2.46%	$4.91B	/cigi-vs-vac →
VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. each representing ten (10)	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.28%	$3.21B	/vtmx-vs-vac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001524358

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.67B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.63B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$308.0M, operating cash flow of $28.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.0M (-119.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VAC closed FY2025 with $9.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.67B	-$308.0M	$28.0M	-$29.0M	$9.76B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.63B	$218.0M	$205.0M	$148.0M	$9.81B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.41B	$254.0M	$232.0M	$232.0M	—	—

3. VAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $115.75 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $3.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VAC compare to MRP and CURB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.34B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VAC?

Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VAC last traded at $115.75 (+3.17% on volume of 350,110 shares), positioning the stock +8.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($106.42) and +34.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($86.33). Across its 52-week range of $44.58 to $131.34, VAC sits at the 82.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($107.53 to $123.97).

VAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is VAC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for VAC.

Direct Sub-Reports: VAC RQD Cockpit VAC 12M Forecast VAC Earnings & Move VAC Dividends & DRIP VAC Insiders & 13F VAC Whale Options VAC Profit Sankey VAC News & Why