Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $115.75 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $3.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.34B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).
Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While VAC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($106.42) and Max Pain ($121.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $137.91.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) surged +3.17% to $115.75, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($44.58 – $131.34). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Marriott Vacations Worldwide raised guidance as contract sales improve, but weak new buyer demand and cash flow risks remain. Click here to read more about VAC.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide has rallied strongly this year, and the sharp move puts fresh focus on whether the current price lines up with the cash the business can realistically generate. With the stock now far above w
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE: VAC) has appointed Heena Patel as Chief Revenue Management Officer in a newly created role. Patel brings over 25 years of leadership experience in revenue management, inventory optimiz
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) just completed a $460 million securitization of vacation ownership loans, issuing three tranches of fixed-rate notes with a blended 5.91% cost to refinance existing credit lines. The re
MGM gears up for Q3 earnings, with Las Vegas demand, MGM China recovery and digital growth in focus, even as weaker EPS expectations raise concerns.
ORLANDO, Fla., October 22, 2026--The Marriott Vacation Clubs, a portfolio of premium vacation ownership brands operated by Marriott Vacations Worldwide, and Topeka, creator of premium destination music vacations, today a
Las Vegas Sands' Q3 earnings and revenues miss estimates as soft premium play and higher costs squeeze profits, despite a stronger Macao mass gaming share.
Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Grambling maintains Marriott Vacations (NYSE:VAC) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $65 to $63.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VAC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) ranks #979 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #313 by equity capitalization ($3.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRP leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while CIGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CIGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with VAC at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAC
ACTIVE
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -15.5% | +3.17% | $3.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| MRP Millrose Properties Inc. | C | 65/100 | 11.4x | — | 5.3% | +2.88% | $4.34B | /mrp-vs-vac → |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | 87.5x | — | 2.1% | +2.42% | $3.49B | /curb-vs-vac → |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares | C+ | 69/100 | — | — | 22.1% | +2.46% | $4.91B | /cigi-vs-vac → |
| VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. each representing ten (10) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -0.28% | $3.21B | /vtmx-vs-vac → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.67B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.63B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$308.0M, operating cash flow of $28.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.0M (-119.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VAC closed FY2025 with $9.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.67B | -$308.0M | $28.0M | -$29.0M | $9.76B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.63B | $218.0M | $205.0M | $148.0M | $9.81B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.41B | $254.0M | $232.0M | $232.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $115.75 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $3.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.34B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).
Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
VAC last traded at $115.75 (+3.17% on volume of 350,110 shares), positioning the stock +8.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($106.42) and +34.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($86.33). Across its 52-week range of $44.58 to $131.34, VAC sits at the 82.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($107.53 to $123.97).
Why VAC Stock surged +3.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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