Stock Ratings / Financials / VAC / insiders

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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$115.75 +3.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.19

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $3.98B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VAC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $115.75 (+3.17% 1D, market cap $3.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #979 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VAC compare to MRP and CURB in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.34B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VAC?

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Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.19 (+0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VAC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$105.34+5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$110.93-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$109.31+5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$115.75-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VAC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($106.42) and Max Pain ($121.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $137.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VAC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VAC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VAC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VAC)

✓Walkthrough of VAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.74%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $116.7H $116.9L $113.8C $115.8VOL 370.6K

RES: $113.0SUP: $99.64SMA50: $106.4SMA200: $86.33

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VAC Butterfly Map → + Track VAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VAC)

Financials Rank #979 of 1096 ⚔️ MRP vs VAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VAC vs. MRP, CURB, CIGI, VTMX)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) ranks #979 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #313 by equity capitalization ($3.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRP leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while CIGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CIGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with VAC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VAC ACTIVE Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation	D-	40/100	—	—	-15.5%	+3.17%	$3.98B	Benchmark Subject
MRP Millrose Properties Inc.	C	65/100	11.4x	—	5.3%	+2.88%	$4.34B	/mrp-vs-vac →
CURB Curbline Properties Corp.	D+	58/100	87.5x	—	2.1%	+2.42%	$3.49B	/curb-vs-vac →
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	C+	69/100	—	—	22.1%	+2.46%	$4.91B	/cigi-vs-vac →
VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. each representing ten (10)	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.28%	$3.21B	/vtmx-vs-vac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001524358

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.67B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.63B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$308.0M, operating cash flow of $28.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.0M (-119.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VAC closed FY2025 with $9.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.67B	-$308.0M	$28.0M	-$29.0M	$9.76B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.63B	$218.0M	$205.0M	$148.0M	$9.81B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.41B	$254.0M	$232.0M	$232.0M	—	—

3. VAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VAC compare to MRP and CURB in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VAC?

Where is VAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VAC last traded at $115.75 (+3.17% on volume of 350,110 shares), positioning the stock +8.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($106.42) and +34.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($86.33). Across its 52-week range of $44.58 to $131.34, VAC sits at the 82.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($107.53 to $123.97).

VAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are VAC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies VAC leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: VAC RQD Cockpit VAC 12M Forecast VAC Earnings & Move VAC Dividends & DRIP VAC Insiders & 13F VAC Whale Options VAC Profit Sankey VAC News & Why