Stock Ratings / Financials / TRC / forecast

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Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$16.76 +1.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $452.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TRC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.76: 596.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.49

$7,452

$-2,548 (-25.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.01

$9,553

$-447 (-4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.38

$13,353

+$3,353 (+33.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$17	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$21	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRC)

✓Walkthrough of TRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.36%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $17.00H $17.00L $16.12C $16.76VOL 99.6K

RES: $16.66SUP: $15.79SMA50: $16.28SMA200: $17.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRC Butterfly Map → + Track TRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRC)

Financials Rank #893 of 1096 ⚔️ AHRT vs TRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRC vs. AHRT, BOC, FRPH, HPP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) ranks #893 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #727 by equity capitalization ($452.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AHRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with TRC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRC ACTIVE Tejon Ranch Co	D	48/100	—	—	-1.3%	+1.02%	$452.9M	Benchmark Subject
AHRT AH Realty Trust Inc.	D	50/100	116.9x	—	6.5%	+1.16%	$455.8M	/ahrt-vs-trc →
BOC Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	—	-0.6%	+1.80%	$391.3M	/boc-vs-trc →
FRPH FRP Holdings Inc.	D-	43/100	114.6x	—	1.3%	+1.88%	$363.6M	/frph-vs-trc →
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	-19.9%	+0.64%	$601.8M	/hpp-vs-trc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000096869

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) reported GAAP revenue of $49.6M (+18.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9M , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $75.0K, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of $6.1M (+114.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRC closed FY2025 with $630.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$49.6M	$75.0K	$6.1M	$6.1M	$630.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$41.9M	$2.7M	$14.3M	-$42.9M	$608.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$44.7M	$3.3M	$13.7M	$13.7M	—	—

3. TRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $16.76 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $452.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #893 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $455.8M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $391.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?

Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRC last traded at $16.76 (+1.02% on volume of 101,881 shares), positioning the stock +2.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.28) and -5.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.75). Across its 52-week range of $15.31 to $21.31, TRC sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($15.91 to $17.61).

TRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TRC's 12-month stock price target?

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $16.01 (-4.5% from $16.76), with a bull-case target of $22.38 and a bear-case floor of $12.49.

Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TRC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRC RQD Cockpit TRC 12M Forecast TRC Earnings & Move TRC Dividends & DRIP TRC Insiders & 13F TRC Whale Options TRC Profit Sankey TRC News & Why