Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.76 +1.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $452.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$22 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE TRC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
50.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE
L: $15$16.76H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TRC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-1.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 1.35% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRC
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.36%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $17.00H $17.00L $16.12C $16.76VOL 99.6K
RES: $16.66SUP: $15.79SMA50: $16.28SMA200: $17.75
$21.70$20.10$18.49$16.89$15.29RES $16.66SUP $15.79$16.762026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRC)

Financials Rank #893 of 1096 ⚔️ AHRT vs TRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRC vs. AHRT, BOC, FRPH, HPP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) ranks #893 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #727 by equity capitalization ($452.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AHRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with TRC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRC ACTIVE
Tejon Ranch Co
D 48/100 — — -1.3% +1.02% $452.9M Benchmark Subject
AHRT
AH Realty Trust Inc.
D 50/100 116.9x — 6.5% +1.16% $455.8M /ahrt-vs-trc →
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — -0.6% +1.80% $391.3M /boc-vs-trc →
FRPH
FRP Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 114.6x — 1.3% +1.88% $363.6M /frph-vs-trc →
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.
D 50/100 — — -19.9% +0.64% $601.8M /hpp-vs-trc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000096869

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) reported GAAP revenue of $49.6M (+18.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9M , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $75.0K, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of $6.1M (+114.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRC closed FY2025 with $630.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $49.6M $75.0K $6.1M $6.1M $630.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.9M $2.7M $14.3M -$42.9M $608.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $44.7M $3.3M $13.7M $13.7M — —

3. TRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $16.76 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $452.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #893 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $455.8M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $391.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?

Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRC last traded at $16.76 (+1.02% on volume of 101,881 shares), positioning the stock +2.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.28) and -5.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.75). Across its 52-week range of $15.31 to $21.31, TRC sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($15.91 to $17.61).

TRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRC stock right now?

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRC's 12-month base price target is $16.01 (range $12.49 to $22.38), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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