Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$16.76 +1.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $452.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$22 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$0.85 Expected Swing
$15.91 (-5.1%)Spot $16.76$17.61 (+5.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TRC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 18.4%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$49.6M$75.0K$6.1M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$41.9M$2.7M-$42.9M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$44.7M$3.3M$13.7M52%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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TRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.36%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $17.00H $17.00L $16.12C $16.76VOL 99.6K
RES: $16.66SUP: $15.79SMA50: $16.28SMA200: $17.75
$21.70$20.10$18.49$16.89$15.29RES $16.66SUP $15.79$16.762026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRC)

Financials Rank #893 of 1096 ⚔️ AHRT vs TRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRC vs. AHRT, BOC, FRPH, HPP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) ranks #893 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #727 by equity capitalization ($452.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AHRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with TRC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRC ACTIVE
Tejon Ranch Co
D 48/100 — — -1.3% +1.02% $452.9M Benchmark Subject
AHRT
AH Realty Trust Inc.
D 50/100 116.9x — 6.5% +1.16% $455.8M /ahrt-vs-trc →
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — -0.6% +1.80% $391.3M /boc-vs-trc →
FRPH
FRP Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 114.6x — 1.3% +1.88% $363.6M /frph-vs-trc →
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.
D 50/100 — — -19.9% +0.64% $601.8M /hpp-vs-trc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000096869

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) reported GAAP revenue of $49.6M (+18.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9M , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $75.0K, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of $6.1M (+114.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRC closed FY2025 with $630.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $49.6M $75.0K $6.1M $6.1M $630.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.9M $2.7M $14.3M -$42.9M $608.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $44.7M $3.3M $13.7M $13.7M — —

3. TRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $16.76 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $452.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #893 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $455.8M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $391.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?

Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRC last traded at $16.76 (+1.02% on volume of 101,881 shares), positioning the stock +2.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.28) and -5.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.75). Across its 52-week range of $15.31 to $21.31, TRC sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($15.91 to $17.61).

TRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TRC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TRC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for TRC, spanning a range between $15.91 and $17.61.

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