CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why TLF Stock advanced +0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.26 +0.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.26
Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (TLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $18.5M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TLF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (NASDAQ: TLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.26 (+0.44% 1D, market cap $18.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TLF ranks #783 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TLF compare to PASW and BIRD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), TLF carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.0%, and ROIC of -2.1%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M) and BIRD (Smartbird Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $25.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLF?
▼
Per TLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000909724), Tandy Leather Factory Inc. generated $76.3M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $9.1M in net income, and -$8.1M in free cash flow against $86.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.26 (-0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TLF SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$2.49-4% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.39-4.6% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.28-0.9% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$2.26-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TLF Turnaround Squeeze
While TLF currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.51) and Max Pain ($2.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.53.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TLF Stock advanced +0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (TLF) advanced +0.44% to $2.26, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($2.09 – $3.36). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($2.09 – $3.36) with RSI-14 at 24.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $2.26 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 57% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TLF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TLF)
- ✓Walkthrough of TLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2.30H $2.30L $2.20C $2.26VOL 5.9K
RES: $2.83SUP: $2.07SMA50: $2.51SMA200: $2.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLF)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #783 of 1011
⚔️ PASW vs TLF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TLF vs. PASW, BIRD, BRIA, NCI)
Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (TLF) ranks #783 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #890 by equity capitalization ($18.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCI leads on earnings valuation at 153.8x trailing P/E, while NCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. BRIA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with TLF at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLF
ACTIVE
Tandy Leather Factory Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 57.0% | -2.1% | +0.44% | $18.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | 2.8% | — | -0.20% | $15.6M | /pasw-vs-tlf → |
| BIRD Smartbird Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 41.0% | -35.0% | -0.93% | $25.0M | /bird-vs-tlf → |
| BRIA BrilliA Inc (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -4.11% | $42.9M | /bria-vs-tlf → |
| NCI Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 153.8x | 36.9% | 2.6% | -1.68% | $6.6M | /nci-vs-tlf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000909724In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (TLF) reported GAAP revenue of $76.3M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $74.4M , and +0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.1M, operating cash flow of -$556.0K, and free cash flow of -$8.1M (-617.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLF closed FY2025 with $86.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $76.3M | $9.1M | -$556.0K | -$8.1M | $86.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $74.4M | $827.0K | $4.5M | $1.6M | $74.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $76.2M | $3.8M | $4.5M | $4.5M | — | — |
3. TLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Tandy Leather Factory Inc. (NASDAQ: TLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.26 (+0.44% 1D, market cap $18.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TLF ranks #783 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TLF compare to PASW and BIRD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), TLF carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.0%, and ROIC of -2.1%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M) and BIRD (Smartbird Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $25.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLF?
Per TLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000909724), Tandy Leather Factory Inc. generated $76.3M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $9.1M in net income, and -$8.1M in free cash flow against $86.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TLF last traded at $2.26 (+0.44% on volume of 3,276 shares), positioning the stock -9.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.51) and -9.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.49). Across its 52-week range of $2.09 to $3.36, TLF sits at the 13.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($2.03 to $2.49).
TLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TLF stock moving today?
Why TLF Stock advanced +0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.