Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BIRD

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Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell BIRD stock right now?

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is BIRD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BIRD's 12-month base price target is $1.92 (range $1.5 to $25.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$2.12 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $25.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BIRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

31.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.12H: $24

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BIRD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (32)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BIRD

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BIRD)

✓Walkthrough of BIRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BIRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.11H $2.13L $1.93C $2.12VOL 340.8K

RES: $2.82SUP: $0.14SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $3.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BIRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BIRD Butterfly Map → + Track BIRD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BIRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BIRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BIRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BIRD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1011 ⚔️ TLF vs BIRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BIRD vs. TLF, PASW, BRIA, JRSH)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #877 by equity capitalization ($25.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JRSH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while JRSH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.6% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. BRIA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with BIRD at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BIRD ACTIVE Smartbird Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	41.0%	-35.0%	-0.93%	$25.0M	Benchmark Subject
TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc.	D-	43/100	—	57.0%	-2.1%	+0.44%	$18.5M	/tlf-vs-bird →
PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	2.8%	—	-0.20%	$15.6M	/pasw-vs-bird →
BRIA BrilliA Inc (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.11%	$42.9M	/bria-vs-bird →
JRSH Jerash Holdings (US) Inc.	D	50/100	21.3x	16.1%	9.6%	+2.01%	$77.3M	/jrsh-vs-bird →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653909

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) reported GAAP revenue of $152.5M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $189.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$77.3M, operating cash flow of -$55.1M, and free cash flow of -$58.2M (+14.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BIRD closed FY2025 with $109.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$152.5M	-$77.3M	-$55.1M	-$58.2M	$109.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$189.8M	-$93.3M	-$63.9M	-$68.0M	$188.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$152.5M	-$30.2M	-$30.2M	—	—

3. BIRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BIRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIRD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.12 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $25.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIRD ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BIRD compare to TLF and PASW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), BIRD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M) and PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while JRSH leads on capital efficiency (9.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIRD?

Per BIRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653909), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) generated $152.5M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), -$77.3M in net income, and -$58.2M in free cash flow against $109.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BIRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BIRD last traded at $2.12 (-0.93% on volume of 154,001 shares), positioning the stock -15.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -40.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.58). Across its 52-week range of $1.93 to $24.31, BIRD sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.85 to $2.39).

BIRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BIRD stock right now?

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BIRD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BIRD's 12-month base price target is $1.92 (range $1.5 to $25.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BIRD RQD Cockpit BIRD 12M Forecast BIRD Earnings & Move BIRD Dividends & DRIP BIRD Insiders & 13F BIRD Whale Options BIRD Profit Sankey BIRD News & Why