MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why BIRD Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.12 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11
Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $25.0M
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Is BIRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIRD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.12 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $25.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIRD ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BIRD compare to TLF and PASW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), BIRD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M) and PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while JRSH leads on capital efficiency (9.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIRD?
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Per BIRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653909), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) generated $152.5M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), -$77.3M in net income, and -$58.2M in free cash flow against $109.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BIRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BIRD SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.93-18.8% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.38-3.8% Next Q
42
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.29-7.4% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$2.12-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BIRD Turnaround Squeeze
While BIRD currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.50) and Max Pain ($2.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.53.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BIRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BIRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BIRD Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) slipped -0.93% to $2.12, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.93 – $24.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.93 – $24.31) with RSI-14 at 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 41% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BIRD Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 12h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BIRD)
- ✓Walkthrough of BIRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BIRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.11H $2.13L $1.93C $2.12VOL 340.8K
RES: $2.82SUP: $0.14SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $3.58
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BIRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BIRD today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BIRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BIRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BIRD)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1011
⚔️ TLF vs BIRD Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BIRD vs. TLF, PASW, BRIA, JRSH)
Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #877 by equity capitalization ($25.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JRSH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while JRSH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.6% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. BRIA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with BIRD at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRD
ACTIVE
Smartbird Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 41.0% | -35.0% | -0.93% | $25.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 57.0% | -2.1% | +0.44% | $18.5M | /tlf-vs-bird → |
| PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | 2.8% | — | -0.20% | $15.6M | /pasw-vs-bird → |
| BRIA BrilliA Inc (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -4.11% | $42.9M | /bria-vs-bird → |
| JRSH Jerash Holdings (US) Inc. | D | 50/100 | 21.3x | 16.1% | 9.6% | +2.01% | $77.3M | /jrsh-vs-bird → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653909In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) reported GAAP revenue of $152.5M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $189.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$77.3M, operating cash flow of -$55.1M, and free cash flow of -$58.2M (+14.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BIRD closed FY2025 with $109.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $152.5M | -$77.3M | -$55.1M | -$58.2M | $109.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $189.8M | -$93.3M | -$63.9M | -$68.0M | $188.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$152.5M | -$30.2M | -$30.2M | — | — |
3. BIRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BIRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIRD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.12 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $25.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIRD ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BIRD compare to TLF and PASW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), BIRD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M) and PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while JRSH leads on capital efficiency (9.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIRD?
Per BIRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653909), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) generated $152.5M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), -$77.3M in net income, and -$58.2M in free cash flow against $109.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BIRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BIRD last traded at $2.12 (-0.93% on volume of 154,001 shares), positioning the stock -15.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -40.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.58). Across its 52-week range of $1.93 to $24.31, BIRD sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.85 to $2.39).
BIRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BIRD stock moving today?
Why BIRD Stock slipped -0.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.