Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BIRD / dividends

TLF (43) PASW (34) BRIA (56) JRSH (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Is BIRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIRD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.12 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $25.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIRD ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does BIRD compare to TLF and PASW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), BIRD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M) and PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while JRSH leads on capital efficiency (9.6% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIRD?

Per BIRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653909), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) generated $152.5M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), -$77.3M in net income, and -$58.2M in free cash flow against $109.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is BIRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BIRD last traded at $2.12 (-0.93% on volume of 154,001 shares), positioning the stock -15.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -40.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.58). Across its 52-week range of $1.93 to $24.31, BIRD sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.85 to $2.39).

Q: Does BIRD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$2.12 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $25.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BIRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BIRD SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.93-18.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.38-3.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.29-7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.12-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BIRD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BIRD currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.50) and Max Pain ($2.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BIRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BIRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BIRD)

✓Walkthrough of BIRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BIRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.11H $2.13L $1.93C $2.12VOL 340.8K

RES: $2.82SUP: $0.14SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $3.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BIRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BIRD Butterfly Map → + Track BIRD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BIRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BIRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BIRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BIRD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1011 ⚔️ TLF vs BIRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BIRD vs. TLF, PASW, BRIA, JRSH)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #877 by equity capitalization ($25.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JRSH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while JRSH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.6% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. BRIA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with BIRD at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BIRD ACTIVE Smartbird Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	41.0%	-35.0%	-0.93%	$25.0M	Benchmark Subject
TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc.	D-	43/100	—	57.0%	-2.1%	+0.44%	$18.5M	/tlf-vs-bird →
PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	2.8%	—	-0.20%	$15.6M	/pasw-vs-bird →
BRIA BrilliA Inc (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-4.11%	$42.9M	/bria-vs-bird →
JRSH Jerash Holdings (US) Inc.	D	50/100	21.3x	16.1%	9.6%	+2.01%	$77.3M	/jrsh-vs-bird →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653909

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) reported GAAP revenue of $152.5M (-19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $189.8M ) , GAAP net income of -$77.3M, operating cash flow of -$55.1M, and free cash flow of -$58.2M (+14.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BIRD closed FY2025 with $109.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$152.5M	-$77.3M	-$55.1M	-$58.2M	$109.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$189.8M	-$93.3M	-$63.9M	-$68.0M	$188.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$152.5M	-$30.2M	-$30.2M	—	—

3. BIRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BIRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIRD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.12 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $25.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIRD ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BIRD compare to TLF and PASW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), BIRD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M) and PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while JRSH leads on capital efficiency (9.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIRD?

Per BIRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653909), Smartbird Inc. (Class A) generated $152.5M in revenue (-19.7% YoY), -$77.3M in net income, and -$58.2M in free cash flow against $109.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BIRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BIRD last traded at $2.12 (-0.93% on volume of 154,001 shares), positioning the stock -15.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -40.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.58). Across its 52-week range of $1.93 to $24.31, BIRD sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.85 to $2.39).

BIRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BIRD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Smartbird Inc. (Class A) (BIRD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: BIRD RQD Cockpit BIRD 12M Forecast BIRD Earnings & Move BIRD Dividends & DRIP BIRD Insiders & 13F BIRD Whale Options BIRD Profit Sankey BIRD News & Why