Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TIC / forecast

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TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.39 +3.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44 (+0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TIC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$8.91-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.65+12.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.70+7.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.39-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TIC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.19) and Max Pain ($10.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TIC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.39: 962.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.67

$7,382

$-2,618 (-26.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.83

$9,461

$-539 (-5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.94

$12,454

+$2,454 (+24.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$12	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$9	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TIC)

✓Walkthrough of TIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $10.31H $10.39L $9.96C $10.39VOL 1.42M

RES: $10.79SUP: $7.67SMA50: $9.19SMA200: $8.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TIC Butterfly Map → + Track TIC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TIC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #726 of 1011 ⚔️ FLYW vs TIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TIC vs. FLYW, PAYO, WU, TNET)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) ranks #726 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #401 by equity capitalization ($2.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while WU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. WU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TIC at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TIC ACTIVE TIC Solutions Inc.	D	46/100	—	29.4%	-0.4%	+3.90%	$2.27B	Benchmark Subject
FLYW Flywire Corporation Voting	C	62/100	—	—	1.8%	+1.90%	$2.35B	/flyw-vs-tic →
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc.	C+	66/100	33.0x	—	34.1%	0.00%	$2.41B	/payo-vs-tic →
WU Western Union Company	C+	68/100	3.9x	34.3%	85.0%	+1.97%	$1.94B	/wu-vs-tic →
TNET TriNet Group Inc.	D+	57/100	18.9x	—	85.0%	-9.53%	$2.92B	/tnet-vs-tic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002032966

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and +45.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$87.1M, operating cash flow of $95.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M . On the balance sheet, TIC closed FY2025 with $4.40B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.08, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.53B	-$87.1M	$95.0M	$61.3M	$4.40B	$1.59B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$2.21B	$747.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.05B	$0	—	—	—	—

3. TIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TIC Solutions Inc. (NYSE: TIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.39 (+3.90% 1D, market cap $2.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TIC ranks #726 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TIC compare to FLYW and PAYO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TIC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of -0.4%. By comparison, FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.35B) and PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIC?

Per TIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002032966), TIC Solutions Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue, -$87.1M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $4.40B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TIC last traded at $10.39 (+3.90% on volume of 1,260,112 shares), positioning the stock +13.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.19) and +18.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $6.36 to $12.32, TIC sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($9.51 to $11.27).

TIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TIC's 12-month stock price target?

TIC Solutions Inc. (TIC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.83 (-5.4% from $10.39), with a bull-case target of $12.94 and a bear-case floor of $7.67.