MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SRI Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.10 +0.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10
Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $174.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10 (-0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SRI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($34.0M FCF) & 19.9% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$6.35-8.8% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$5.79+0.9% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$5.84+4.5% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade D+$6.10-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SRI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SRI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.67) or 200D SMA ($6.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.02) toward Bear Floor ($4.70).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SRI Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) advanced +0.83% to $6.10, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($4.6 – $9.71). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($4.6 – $9.71) with RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.3% around $6.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 19.9% gross margin and $34.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SRI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SRI)
- ✓Walkthrough of SRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.00H $6.10L $5.67C $6.10VOL 174.1K
RES: $7.21SUP: $5.52SMA50: $6.67SMA200: $6.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SRI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #552 of 1011
⚔️ MPAA vs SRI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SRI vs. MPAA, CVGI, CAAS, STRT)
Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) ranks #552 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #710 by equity capitalization ($174.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with SRI at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRI
ACTIVE
Stoneridge Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 19.9% | -24.1% | +0.83% | $174.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | 20.2% | 21.6% | -3.29% | $195.0M | /mpaa-vs-sri → |
| CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 10.5% | -0.2% | -1.22% | $131.2M | /cvgi-vs-sri → |
| CAAS China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share | D+ | 53/100 | — | 19.0% | 16.3% | -2.04% | $130.3M | /caas-vs-sri → |
| STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION | C+ | 67/100 | 12.5x | 16.5% | 15.2% | +0.63% | $256.6M | /strt-vs-sri → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043337In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) reported GAAP revenue of $861.3M (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $908.3M , and -11.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$102.8M, operating cash flow of $34.0M, and free cash flow of $34.0M (-28.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRI closed FY2025 with $551.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $861.3M | -$102.8M | $34.0M | $34.0M | $551.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $908.3M | -$16.5M | $47.7M | $47.7M | $621.6M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $975.8M | -$5.2M | $4.9M | $4.9M | — | — |
3. SRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Stoneridge Inc. (NYSE: SRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $6.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $174.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRI ranks #552 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SRI compare to MPAA and CVGI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SRI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of -24.1%. By comparison, MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.0M) and CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $131.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SRI?
Per SRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043337), Stoneridge Inc. generated $861.3M in revenue (-5.2% YoY), -$102.8M in net income, and $34.0M in free cash flow against $551.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SRI last traded at $6.10 (+0.83% on volume of 213,520 shares), positioning the stock -8.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.67) and -11.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.91). Across its 52-week range of $4.60 to $9.71, SRI sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($5.59 to $6.61).
SRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SRI stock moving today?
Why SRI Stock advanced +0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-24% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.