Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.10 +0.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10

Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $174.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.10 (-0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE SRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SRI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($34.0M FCF) & 19.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$6.35-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$5.79+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$5.84+4.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$6.10-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SRI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.67) or 200D SMA ($6.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.02) toward Bear Floor ($4.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SRI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.00H $6.10L $5.67C $6.10VOL 174.1K
RES: $7.21SUP: $5.52SMA50: $6.67SMA200: $6.91
$8.17$7.48$6.79$6.10$5.42RES $7.21SUP $5.52$6.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #552 of 1011 ⚔️ MPAA vs SRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SRI vs. MPAA, CVGI, CAAS, STRT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) ranks #552 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #710 by equity capitalization ($174.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with SRI at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SRI ACTIVE
Stoneridge Inc.
D+ 55/100 — 19.9% -24.1% +0.83% $174.0M Benchmark Subject
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America Inc.
C 64/100 16.3x 20.2% 21.6% -3.29% $195.0M /mpaa-vs-sri →
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.
D- 41/100 — 10.5% -0.2% -1.22% $131.2M /cvgi-vs-sri →
CAAS
China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share
D+ 53/100 — 19.0% 16.3% -2.04% $130.3M /caas-vs-sri →
STRT
STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION
C+ 67/100 12.5x 16.5% 15.2% +0.63% $256.6M /strt-vs-sri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043337

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) reported GAAP revenue of $861.3M (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $908.3M , and -11.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$102.8M, operating cash flow of $34.0M, and free cash flow of $34.0M (-28.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRI closed FY2025 with $551.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $861.3M -$102.8M $34.0M $34.0M $551.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $908.3M -$16.5M $47.7M $47.7M $621.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $975.8M -$5.2M $4.9M $4.9M — —

3. SRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Stoneridge Inc. (NYSE: SRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $6.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $174.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRI ranks #552 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SRI compare to MPAA and CVGI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SRI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of -24.1%. By comparison, MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.0M) and CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $131.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SRI?

Per SRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043337), Stoneridge Inc. generated $861.3M in revenue (-5.2% YoY), -$102.8M in net income, and $34.0M in free cash flow against $551.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SRI last traded at $6.10 (+0.83% on volume of 213,520 shares), positioning the stock -8.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.67) and -11.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.91). Across its 52-week range of $4.60 to $9.71, SRI sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($5.59 to $6.61).

SRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SRI pay a dividend and is it safe?

Stoneridge Inc. (SRI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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