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Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Where is SOC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOC last traded at $2.88 (-5.88% on volume of 4,806,463 shares), positioning the stock -27.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.99) and -67.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.84). Across its 52-week range of $2.63 to $19.25, SOC sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.52 to $3.24).

Q: When is SOC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is SOC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SOC, spanning a range between $2.52 and $3.24.

$2.88 -5.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.84

Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $552.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SOC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SOC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Sable Offshore Corp. (NYSE: SOC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.88 (-5.88% 1D, market cap $552.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SOC ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SOC compare to SD and WTI in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SOC carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SD (SandRidge Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $538.7M) and WTI (W&T Offshore Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $608.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SD leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while SD leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOC?

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Per SOC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831481), Sable Offshore Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$410.2M in net income, and -$351.7M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.84 (-1.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SOC SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (41% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.72-10.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.32-1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.26-11.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.88-9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SOC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SOC currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.99) and Max Pain ($3.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SOC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.36 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SOC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 29/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (29/100)Model Risk Weight (71/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$410.2M	-$351.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$617.3M	-$163.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$93.7M	-$70.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOC)

✓Walkthrough of SOC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SOC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.93%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.85H $2.89L $2.63C $2.88VOL 6.61M

RES: $5.45SUP: $2.80SMA50: $3.99SMA200: $8.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SOC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SOC Butterfly Map → + Track SOC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOC)

Energy Rank #204 of 211 ⚔️ SD vs SOC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SOC vs. SD, WTI, EGY, GPRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #152 by equity capitalization ($552.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SD leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while SD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with SOC at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SOC ACTIVE Sable Offshore Corp.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.88%	$552.6M	Benchmark Subject
SD SandRidge Energy Inc.	C+	67/100	7.7x	—	12.0%	-1.22%	$538.7M	/sd-vs-soc →
WTI W&T Offshore Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.50%	$608.3M	/wti-vs-soc →
EGY VAALCO Energy Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-4.2%	-1.40%	$666.9M	/egy-vs-soc →
GPRK Geopark Ltd	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.64%	$702.2M	/gprk-vs-soc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001831481

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$410.2M, operating cash flow of -$351.7M, and free cash flow of -$351.7M (-115.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOC closed FY2025 with $1.74B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$410.2M	-$351.7M	-$351.7M	$1.74B	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$617.3M	-$163.0M	-$163.0M	$1.58B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$93.7M	-$70.1M	-$70.1M	—	—

3. SOC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SOC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SOC compare to SD and WTI in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOC?

Where is SOC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOC last traded at $2.88 (-5.88% on volume of 4,806,463 shares), positioning the stock -27.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.99) and -67.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.84). Across its 52-week range of $2.63 to $19.25, SOC sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.52 to $3.24).

SOC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SOC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SOC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SOC, spanning a range between $2.52 and $3.24.

Direct Sub-Reports: SOC RQD Cockpit SOC 12M Forecast SOC Earnings & Move SOC Dividends & DRIP SOC Insiders & 13F SOC Whale Options SOC Profit Sankey SOC News & Why