Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3251.9% FCF Margin ($402.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SKWD faces multiple-compression risk if 15.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.58) or 200D SMA ($51.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.14) toward Bear Floor ($47.69).
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) advanced +0.95% to $58.51, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($40.6 – $65.69). Solid steady margins (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Essent Group (ESNT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Skyward (SKWD) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
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Skyward Specialty (SKWD) fits Minervini’s Trend Template with a strong uptrend, high-growth fundamentals, and a consolidating breakout setup.
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Slingshot Insurance, the AI-native insurance company built for the embedded economy, today announced a strategic partnership with Skyward Group, the specialty insurance organization whose operating businesses include Sky
Insurance stock Skyward Specialty Insurance Group is near a 65.69 buy point as investors flee growth names.
Aon's Q3 EPS is projected to grow 9.5%, yet a steep Wealth Solutions revenue decline, rising expenses and a negative Earnings ESP raise doubts about a beat.
Selective Insurance (SIGI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +24.08% and -0.60%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +16.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKWD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKWD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) ranks #224 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPNT leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while HCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SKWD at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKWD
ACTIVE
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 15.3x | — | 16.8% | +0.95% | $2.60B | Benchmark Subject |
| HCI HCI Group Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 7.7x | — | 30.8% | +1.53% | $2.47B | /hci-vs-skwd → |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B) | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | -0.72% | $2.86B | /hg-vs-skwd → |
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +1.91% | $2.26B | /plgo-vs-skwd → |
| SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd. | C | 64/100 | 6.6x | — | 18.6% | +2.69% | $3.01B | /spnt-vs-skwd → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) reported GAAP revenue of $12.4M (+16.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.7M , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $170.0M, operating cash flow of $408.1M, and free cash flow of $402.6M (+33.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKWD closed FY2025 with $4.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $12.4M | $170.0M | $408.1M | $402.6M | $4.79B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $10.7M | $118.8M | $305.1M | $300.9M | $3.73B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.8M | $86.0M | $338.2M | $338.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SKWD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $58.51 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SKWD ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), SKWD carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, HCI (HCI Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 30.8%, cap $2.47B) and HG (Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPNT leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while HCI leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).
Per SKWD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001519449), Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. generated $12.4M in revenue (+16.0% YoY), $170.0M in net income, and $402.6M in free cash flow against $4.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SKWD last traded at $58.51 (+0.95% on volume of 289,442 shares), positioning the stock +1.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.58) and +13.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($51.59). Across its 52-week range of $40.60 to $65.69, SKWD sits at the 71.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($55.35 to $61.67).
Why SKWD Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
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