Stock Ratings / Financials / SKWD / earnings

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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

$58.51 +0.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKWD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$3.16 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SKWD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $3.83 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$12.4M	$170.0M	$402.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$10.7M	$118.8M	$300.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$9.8M	$86.0M	$338.2M	52%

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SKWD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SKWD
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

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SKWD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $59.79H $59.79L $58.26C $58.51VOL 258.4K

RES: $62.11SUP: $51.38SMA50: $57.58SMA200: $51.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SKWD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SKWD Butterfly Map → + Track SKWD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKWD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKWD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKWD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKWD)

Financials Rank #224 of 1096 ⚔️ HCI vs SKWD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SKWD vs. HCI, HG, PLGO, SPNT)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) ranks #224 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPNT leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while HCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SKWD at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SKWD ACTIVE Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc.	C+	68/100	15.3x	—	16.8%	+0.95%	$2.60B	Benchmark Subject
HCI HCI Group Inc.	B+	76/100	7.7x	—	30.8%	+1.53%	$2.47B	/hci-vs-skwd →
HG Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B)	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-0.72%	$2.86B	/hg-vs-skwd →
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited	D	44/100	—	—	—	+1.91%	$2.26B	/plgo-vs-skwd →
SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd.	C	64/100	6.6x	—	18.6%	+2.69%	$3.01B	/spnt-vs-skwd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001519449

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (SKWD) reported GAAP revenue of $12.4M (+16.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.7M , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $170.0M, operating cash flow of $408.1M, and free cash flow of $402.6M (+33.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKWD closed FY2025 with $4.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$12.4M	$170.0M	$408.1M	$402.6M	$4.79B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$10.7M	$118.8M	$305.1M	$300.9M	$3.73B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.8M	$86.0M	$338.2M	$338.2M	—	—

3. SKWD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SKWD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SKWD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $58.51 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SKWD ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SKWD compare to HCI and HG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), SKWD carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, HCI (HCI Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 30.8%, cap $2.47B) and HG (Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPNT leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while HCI leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKWD?

Per SKWD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001519449), Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. generated $12.4M in revenue (+16.0% YoY), $170.0M in net income, and $402.6M in free cash flow against $4.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SKWD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKWD last traded at $58.51 (+0.95% on volume of 289,442 shares), positioning the stock +1.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.58) and +13.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($51.59). Across its 52-week range of $40.60 to $65.69, SKWD sits at the 71.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($55.35 to $61.67).