Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RGS / forecast

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Regis Corporation (RGS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$29.78 +1.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $74.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RGS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $29.78 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $74.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #420 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $61.0M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $110.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

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Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RGS SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$28.70+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$28.99+1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$29.45+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$29.78-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, RGS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.51) or 200D SMA ($26.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.65) toward Bear Floor ($23.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RGS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $29.78: 335.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $23.13

$7,767

$-2,233 (-22.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $29.65

$9,956

$-44 (-0.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $34.99

$11,749

+$1,749 (+17.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$31	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$33	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$26	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGS)

✓Walkthrough of RGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $29.44H $29.78L $29.44C $29.78VOL 2.3K

RES: $29.87SUP: $27.06SMA50: $28.51SMA200: $26.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGS Butterfly Map → + Track RGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #420 of 1011 ⚔️ ASPS vs RGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RGS vs. ASPS, TISI, ABLV, WW)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regis Corporation (RGS) ranks #420 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #780 by equity capitalization ($74.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TISI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RGS at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RGS ACTIVE Regis Corporation	D+	57/100	—	—	5.6%	+1.16%	$74.5M	Benchmark Subject
ASPS Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.	E	27/100	—	28.6%	0.6%	-5.49%	$61.0M	/asps-vs-rgs →
TISI Team Inc.	D-	39/100	—	25.8%	85.0%	+0.46%	$110.0M	/tisi-vs-rgs →
ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B)	C+	66/100	—	11.3%	-5.5%	+7.60%	$140.8M	/ablv-vs-rgs →
WW WW International Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	85.0%	+4.59%	$150.5M	/ww-vs-rgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000716643

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported GAAP revenue of $210.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.5M, operating cash flow of $13.7M, and free cash flow of $12.4M (+615.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGS closed FY2025 with $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$210.1M	$123.5M	$13.7M	$12.4M	$588.3M	$111.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$203.0M	$91.1M	-$2.0M	-$2.4M	$530.1M	$111.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$233.3M	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	-$7.9M	—	—

3. RGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

Where is RGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGS last traded at $29.78 (+1.16% on volume of 2,332 shares), positioning the stock +4.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.51) and +12.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.55). Across its 52-week range of $19.31 to $30.93, RGS sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($28.50 to $31.06).

RGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RGS's 12-month stock price target?

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $29.65 (-0.4% from $29.78), with a bull-case target of $34.99 and a bear-case floor of $23.13.

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RGS D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RGS RQD Cockpit RGS 12M Forecast RGS Earnings & Move RGS Dividends & DRIP RGS Insiders & 13F RGS Whale Options RGS Profit Sankey RGS News & Why