Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RGS / financials

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Regis Corporation (RGS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$29.78 +1.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $74.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RGS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$29.45-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$29.00+1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$29.40+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$29.78-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RGS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.45) and Max Pain ($31.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RGS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$12.4M (5.9% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $233.3M

FY24

Rev $203.0M

FY25

Rev $210.1M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$210.1M	52%	9.5%	$123.5M	$12.4M	5.6%
FY 2024	$203.0M	52%	10.3%	$91.1M	-$2.4M	9.8%
FY 2023	$233.3M	52%	3.8%	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	5.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGS)

✓Walkthrough of RGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $28.59H $29.78L $28.59C $29.78VOL 2.0K

RES: $29.87SUP: $27.05SMA50: $28.45SMA200: $26.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGS Butterfly Map → + Track RGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #645 of 1011 ⚔️ ASPS vs RGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RGS vs. ASPS, TISI, ABLV, WW)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regis Corporation (RGS) ranks #645 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #780 by equity capitalization ($74.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TISI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with RGS at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RGS ACTIVE Regis Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	5.6%	+1.16%	$74.5M	Benchmark Subject
ASPS Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.	E	28/100	—	28.6%	0.6%	-5.49%	$61.0M	/asps-vs-rgs →
TISI Team Inc.	D-	41/100	—	25.8%	85.0%	+0.46%	$110.0M	/tisi-vs-rgs →
ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B)	C	65/100	—	11.3%	-5.5%	+7.60%	$140.8M	/ablv-vs-rgs →
WW WW International Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	85.0%	+4.59%	$150.5M	/ww-vs-rgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000716643

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported GAAP revenue of $210.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.5M, operating cash flow of $13.7M, and free cash flow of $12.4M (+615.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGS closed FY2025 with $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$210.1M	$123.5M	$13.7M	$12.4M	$588.3M	$111.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$203.0M	$91.1M	-$2.0M	-$2.4M	$530.1M	$111.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$233.3M	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	-$7.9M	—	—

3. RGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $29.78 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $74.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #645 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $61.0M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $110.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGS last traded at $29.78 (+1.16% on volume of 2,332 shares), positioning the stock +4.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.45) and +12.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.52). Across its 52-week range of $19.31 to $30.93, RGS sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($28.47 to $31.09).

RGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Regis Corporation (RGS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RGS converted $210.1M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 9.5% operating margin, and $12.4M in free cash flow (5.9% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: RGS RQD Cockpit RGS 12M Forecast RGS Earnings & Move RGS Dividends & DRIP RGS Insiders & 13F RGS Whale Options RGS Profit Sankey RGS News & Why