Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RGS / earnings

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Regis Corporation (RGS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.4% Move

$29.78 +1.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $74.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.79 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RGS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$29.45-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$29.00+1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$29.40+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$29.78-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RGS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.45) and Max Pain ($31.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.4% Swing Band

±$1.31 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RGS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.5%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$210.1M	$123.5M	$12.4M	52%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$203.0M	$91.1M	-$2.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$233.3M	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGS)

✓Walkthrough of RGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $28.59H $29.78L $28.59C $29.78VOL 2.0K

RES: $29.87SUP: $27.05SMA50: $28.45SMA200: $26.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGS Butterfly Map → + Track RGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #645 of 1011 ⚔️ ASPS vs RGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RGS vs. ASPS, TISI, ABLV, WW)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regis Corporation (RGS) ranks #645 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #780 by equity capitalization ($74.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TISI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with RGS at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RGS ACTIVE Regis Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	5.6%	+1.16%	$74.5M	Benchmark Subject
ASPS Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.	E	28/100	—	28.6%	0.6%	-5.49%	$61.0M	/asps-vs-rgs →
TISI Team Inc.	D-	41/100	—	25.8%	85.0%	+0.46%	$110.0M	/tisi-vs-rgs →
ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B)	C	65/100	—	11.3%	-5.5%	+7.60%	$140.8M	/ablv-vs-rgs →
WW WW International Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	85.0%	+4.59%	$150.5M	/ww-vs-rgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000716643

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported GAAP revenue of $210.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.5M, operating cash flow of $13.7M, and free cash flow of $12.4M (+615.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGS closed FY2025 with $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$210.1M	$123.5M	$13.7M	$12.4M	$588.3M	$111.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$203.0M	$91.1M	-$2.0M	-$2.4M	$530.1M	$111.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$233.3M	-$7.4M	-$7.9M	-$7.9M	—	—

3. RGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $29.78 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $74.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #645 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $61.0M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $110.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGS last traded at $29.78 (+1.16% on volume of 2,332 shares), positioning the stock +4.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.45) and +12.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.52). Across its 52-week range of $19.31 to $30.93, RGS sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($28.47 to $31.09).

RGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RGS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Regis Corporation (RGS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is RGS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.4% event move for RGS, spanning a range between $28.47 and $31.09.

Direct Sub-Reports: RGS RQD Cockpit RGS 12M Forecast RGS Earnings & Move RGS Dividends & DRIP RGS Insiders & 13F RGS Whale Options RGS Profit Sankey RGS News & Why