Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RDWR / financials

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Radware Ltd. (RDWR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$36.64 -1.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.55B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48 (-0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RDWR SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.8% FCF Margin ($41.6M FCF) & 80.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$30.98-12.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$27.16+14.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$31.07+17.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$36.64-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDWR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RDWR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.80) and Max Pain ($38.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDWR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RDWR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RDWR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$41.6M (13.8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $261.3M

FY24

Rev $274.9M

FY25

Rev $301.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$301.9M	80.7%	3.8%	$20.3M	$41.6M	3.7%
FY 2024	$274.9M	80.6%	-1.4%	$6.0M	$66.3M	-1.4%
FY 2023	$261.3M	80.7%	-12.1%	-$21.6M	-$3.5M	3.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDWR)

✓Walkthrough of RDWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RDWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $36.05H $36.64L $33.90C $36.64VOL 1.17M

RES: $38.63SUP: $26.23SMA50: $29.80SMA200: $27.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RDWR Butterfly Map → + Track RDWR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDWR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDWR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #701 of 1011 ⚔️ NUTX vs RDWR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RDWR vs. NUTX, LQDT, WU, RSKD)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Radware Ltd. (RDWR) ranks #701 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with RDWR at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RDWR ACTIVE Radware Ltd.	D	47/100	76.5x	80.7%	3.7%	-1.40%	$1.55B	Benchmark Subject
NUTX Nutex Health Inc.	B	75/100	20.3x	50.8%	85.0%	-1.19%	$1.44B	/nutx-vs-rdwr →
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc.	B	72/100	50.5x	43.8%	12.9%	+3.32%	$1.42B	/lqdt-vs-rdwr →
WU Western Union Company	C+	68/100	3.9x	34.3%	85.0%	+1.97%	$1.94B	/wu-vs-rdwr →
RSKD Riskified Ltd. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	51.7%	-20.3%	-0.55%	$1.22B	/rskd-vs-rdwr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Radware Ltd. (RDWR) reported GAAP revenue of $301.9M (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.9M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.3M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $41.6M (-37.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDWR closed FY2025 with $671.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$301.9M	$20.3M	$50.1M	$41.6M	$671.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$274.9M	$6.0M	$71.6M	$66.3M	$618.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$261.3M	-$21.6M	-$3.5M	-$3.5M	—	—

3. RDWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDWR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $36.64 (-1.40% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RDWR ranks #701 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDWR compare to NUTX and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RDWR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.5x, gross margin of 80.7%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.44B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?

Per RDWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094366), Radware Ltd. generated $301.9M in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $20.3M in net income, and $41.6M in free cash flow against $671.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDWR last traded at $36.64 (-1.40% on volume of 503,675 shares), positioning the stock +22.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($29.80) and +32.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.75). Across its 52-week range of $21.68 to $38.50, RDWR sits at the 88.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($32.10 to $41.18).

RDWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Radware Ltd. (RDWR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RDWR converted $301.9M of revenue into a 80.7% gross margin, 3.8% operating margin, and $41.6M in free cash flow (13.8% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: RDWR RQD Cockpit RDWR 12M Forecast RDWR Earnings & Move RDWR Dividends & DRIP RDWR Insiders & 13F RDWR Whale Options RDWR Profit Sankey RDWR News & Why