Radware Ltd. (RDWR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$36.64 -1.40% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D โ€ข SELL / AVOID Cap $1.55B
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48 (-0.44%)๐Ÿงฌ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) โ€ข 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 ยท D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID โ€ข D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- ยท Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$41 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE RDWR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY RDWR SCORES 47/100 (D) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 8/9

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.8% FCF Margin ($41.6M FCF) & 80.7% Gross Margin

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$30.98-12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$27.16+14.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$31.07+17.9% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$36.64-5.9% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: E (39) โ†’ D (47)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDWR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While RDWR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.80) and Max Pain ($38.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.10.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDWRโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œRDWR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 โ€ข REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years โ†’ $20,042

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $361/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.2K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.2K
Yr 6
$16.3K
Yr 7
$17.4K
Yr 8
$18.7K
Yr 9
$20.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDWR)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of RDWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RDWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.72%๐Ÿ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $36.05H $36.64L $33.90C $36.64VOL 1.17M
RES: $38.63SUP: $26.23SMA50: $29.80SMA200: $27.75
$39.57$35.12$30.67$26.22$21.77RES $38.63SUP $26.23$36.642026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDWR today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDWR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #701 of 1011 โš”๏ธ NUTX vs RDWR Full Matrix โ†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RDWR vs. NUTX, LQDT, WU, RSKD)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Radware Ltd. (RDWR) ranks #701 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with RDWR at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDWR ACTIVE
Radware Ltd.
D 47/100 76.5x 80.7% 3.7% -1.40% $1.55B Benchmark Subject
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
B 75/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -1.19% $1.44B /nutx-vs-rdwr โ†’
LQDT
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 72/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% +3.32% $1.42B /lqdt-vs-rdwr โ†’
WU
Western Union Company
C+ 68/100 3.9x 34.3% 85.0% +1.97% $1.94B /wu-vs-rdwr โ†’
RSKD
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 โ€” 51.7% -20.3% -0.55% $1.22B /rskd-vs-rdwr โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001094366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Radware Ltd. (RDWR) reported GAAP revenue of $301.9M (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.9M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.3M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $41.6M (-37.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDWR closed FY2025 with $671.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $301.9M $20.3M $50.1M $41.6M $671.2M โ€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $274.9M $6.0M $71.6M $66.3M $618.7M โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $261.3M -$21.6M -$3.5M -$3.5M โ€” โ€”

3. RDWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDWR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $36.64 (-1.40% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RDWR ranks #701 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDWR compare to NUTX and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RDWR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.5x, gross margin of 80.7%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.44B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?

Per RDWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094366), Radware Ltd. generated $301.9M in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $20.3M in net income, and $41.6M in free cash flow against $671.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDWR last traded at $36.64 (-1.40% on volume of 503,675 shares), positioning the stock +22.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($29.80) and +32.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.75). Across its 52-week range of $21.68 to $38.50, RDWR sits at the 88.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ12.4% ($32.10 to $41.18).

RDWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

Does RDWR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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