Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RDWR / earnings

NUTX (86) LQDT (74) WU (52) RSKD (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.4% Move

$36.64 -1.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.55B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RDWR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDWR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $36.64 (-1.40% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RDWR ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDWR compare to NUTX and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RDWR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.5x, gross margin of 80.7%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.44B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?

▼

Per RDWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094366), Radware Ltd. generated $301.9M in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $20.3M in net income, and $41.6M in free cash flow against $671.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.48 (-0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RDWR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$29.64-3.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$28.55+13.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$32.30+13.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$36.64+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDWR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, RDWR faces multiple-compression risk if 76.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.98) or 200D SMA ($27.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.64) toward Bear Floor ($28.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDWR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RDWR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.4% Swing Band

±$4.54 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RDWR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $0.48 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.8%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$301.9M	$20.3M	$41.6M	80.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$274.9M	$6.0M	$66.3M	80.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$261.3M	-$21.6M	-$3.5M	80.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDWR)

✓Walkthrough of RDWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RDWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $37.16H $37.16L $36.64C $36.64VOL 503.7K

RES: $38.69SUP: $26.22SMA50: $29.98SMA200: $27.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RDWR Butterfly Map → + Track RDWR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDWR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDWR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #383 of 1011 ⚔️ NUTX vs RDWR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RDWR vs. NUTX, LQDT, WU, RSKD)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Radware Ltd. (RDWR) ranks #383 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with RDWR at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RDWR ACTIVE Radware Ltd.	D+	58/100	76.5x	80.7%	3.7%	-1.40%	$1.55B	Benchmark Subject
NUTX Nutex Health Inc.	A	86/100	20.3x	50.8%	85.0%	-1.19%	$1.44B	/nutx-vs-rdwr →
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc.	B	74/100	50.5x	43.8%	12.9%	+3.32%	$1.42B	/lqdt-vs-rdwr →
WU Western Union Company	D+	52/100	3.9x	34.3%	85.0%	+1.97%	$1.94B	/wu-vs-rdwr →
RSKD Riskified Ltd. (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	51.7%	-20.3%	-0.55%	$1.22B	/rskd-vs-rdwr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094366

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Radware Ltd. (RDWR) reported GAAP revenue of $301.9M (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.9M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.3M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $41.6M (-37.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDWR closed FY2025 with $671.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$301.9M	$20.3M	$50.1M	$41.6M	$671.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$274.9M	$6.0M	$71.6M	$66.3M	$618.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$261.3M	-$21.6M	-$3.5M	-$3.5M	—	—

3. RDWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RDWR compare to NUTX and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?

Where is RDWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDWR last traded at $36.64 (-1.40% on volume of 503,675 shares), positioning the stock +22.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($29.98) and +31.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.81). Across its 52-week range of $21.68 to $38.50, RDWR sits at the 88.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($32.10 to $41.18).

RDWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RDWR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Radware Ltd. (RDWR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RDWR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.4% event move for RDWR, spanning a range between $32.1 and $41.18.

Direct Sub-Reports: RDWR RQD Cockpit RDWR 12M Forecast RDWR Earnings & Move RDWR Dividends & DRIP RDWR Insiders & 13F RDWR Whale Options RDWR Profit Sankey RDWR News & Why