Stock Ratings / Energy / RCON / financials

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Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: Is RCON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RCON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+7.19% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RCON ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does RCON compare to NINE and KLXE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), RCON carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -11.4%. By comparison, NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M) and KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUSK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while NINE leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCON?

Per RCON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001442620), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) generated $9.3M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$4.7M in free cash flow against $77.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is RCON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCON last traded at $1.04 (+7.19% on volume of 53,319 shares), positioning the stock -21.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.32) and -99.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($119.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.88 to $362.00, RCON sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

Q: How profitable is Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RCON converted $9.3M of revenue into a 23% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

$1.04 +7.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05

Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $23.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05 (+1.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RCON SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.11-10.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.99-9.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.90+15.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.04-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RCON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RCON currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.32) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $380.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RCON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RCON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RCON Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $9.3M

FY24

Rev $9.5M

FY25

Rev $9.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$9.3M	23%	-80%	-$5.9M	-$4.7M	-11.4%
FY 2024	$9.5M	30.3%	-80%	-$6.9M	-$6.0M	-16.6%
FY 2023	$9.3M	23%	-80%	-$8.2M	-$7.1M	-11.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RCON)

✓Walkthrough of RCON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RCON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -99.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.01H $1.04L $0.98C $1.04VOL 25.6K

RES: $26.22SUP: $-42.11SMA50: $1.32SMA200: $119.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RCON Butterfly Map → + Track RCON →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RCON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCON)

Energy Rank #191 of 211 ⚔️ NINE vs RCON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (RCON vs. NINE, KLXE, TUSK, NOA)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) ranks #191 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #199 by equity capitalization ($23.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUSK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while NINE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NOA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RCON at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RCON ACTIVE Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	23.0%	-11.4%	+7.19%	$23.1M	Benchmark Subject
NINE Nine Energy Service Inc.	E	21/100	—	—	0.9%	-3.44%	$109.6M	/nine-vs-rcon →
KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.	E	29/100	—	21.2%	-13.8%	-1.69%	$122.6M	/klxe-vs-rcon →
TUSK Mammoth Energy Services Inc.	E	31/100	30.5x	—	-29.0%	+3.19%	$140.1M	/tusk-vs-rcon →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$347.5M	/noa-vs-rcon →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001442620

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) reported GAAP revenue of $9.3M (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.5M , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$4.7M, and free cash flow of -$4.7M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCON closed FY2025 with $77.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$9.3M	-$5.9M	-$4.7M	-$4.7M	$77.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$9.5M	-$6.9M	-$6.0M	-$6.0M	$74.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$9.3M	-$8.2M	-$7.1M	-$7.1M	—	—

3. RCON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RCON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+7.19% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RCON ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCON compare to NINE and KLXE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), RCON carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -11.4%. By comparison, NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M) and KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUSK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while NINE leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCON?

Per RCON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001442620), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) generated $9.3M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$4.7M in free cash flow against $77.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCON last traded at $1.04 (+7.19% on volume of 53,319 shares), positioning the stock -21.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.32) and -99.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($119.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.88 to $362.00, RCON sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

RCON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RCON converted $9.3M of revenue into a 23% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: RCON RQD Cockpit RCON 12M Forecast RCON Earnings & Move RCON Dividends & DRIP RCON Insiders & 13F RCON Whale Options RCON Profit Sankey RCON News & Why