Stock Ratings / Energy / RCON / earnings

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Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Is RCON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RCON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+7.19% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RCON ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does RCON compare to NINE and KLXE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), RCON carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -11.4%. By comparison, NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M) and KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUSK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while NINE leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCON?

Per RCON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001442620), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) generated $9.3M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$4.7M in free cash flow against $77.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is RCON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCON last traded at $1.04 (+7.19% on volume of 53,319 shares), positioning the stock -21.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.32) and -99.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($119.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.88 to $362.00, RCON sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

Q: When is RCON's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

Q: How much is RCON stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for RCON, spanning a range between $1 and $1.17.

$1.04 +7.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05

Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $23.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05 (+1.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RCON SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.11-10.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.99-9.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.90+15.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.04-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RCON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RCON currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.32) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $380.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RCON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RCON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.13 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RCON Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 36/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.3%

Model Bullish Setup (36/100)Model Risk Weight (64/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$9.3M	-$5.9M	-$4.7M	23%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$9.5M	-$6.9M	-$6.0M	30.3%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$9.3M	-$8.2M	-$7.1M	23%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RCON)

✓Walkthrough of RCON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RCON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -99.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.01H $1.04L $0.98C $1.04VOL 25.6K

RES: $26.22SUP: $-42.11SMA50: $1.32SMA200: $119.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RCON Butterfly Map → + Track RCON →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RCON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCON)

Energy Rank #191 of 211 ⚔️ NINE vs RCON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (RCON vs. NINE, KLXE, TUSK, NOA)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) ranks #191 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #199 by equity capitalization ($23.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUSK leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while NINE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NOA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RCON at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RCON ACTIVE Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	23.0%	-11.4%	+7.19%	$23.1M	Benchmark Subject
NINE Nine Energy Service Inc.	E	21/100	—	—	0.9%	-3.44%	$109.6M	/nine-vs-rcon →
KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.	E	29/100	—	21.2%	-13.8%	-1.69%	$122.6M	/klxe-vs-rcon →
TUSK Mammoth Energy Services Inc.	E	31/100	30.5x	—	-29.0%	+3.19%	$140.1M	/tusk-vs-rcon →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$347.5M	/noa-vs-rcon →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001442620

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON) reported GAAP revenue of $9.3M (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.5M , and -0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$4.7M, and free cash flow of -$4.7M (+21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCON closed FY2025 with $77.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$9.3M	-$5.9M	-$4.7M	-$4.7M	$77.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$9.5M	-$6.9M	-$6.0M	-$6.0M	$74.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$9.3M	-$8.2M	-$7.1M	-$7.1M	—	—

3. RCON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RCON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+7.19% 1D, market cap $23.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RCON ranks #191 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCON compare to NINE and KLXE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), RCON carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -11.4%. By comparison, NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M) and KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUSK leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while NINE leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCON?

Per RCON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001442620), Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) generated $9.3M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$4.7M in free cash flow against $77.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCON last traded at $1.04 (+7.19% on volume of 53,319 shares), positioning the stock -21.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.32) and -99.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($119.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.88 to $362.00, RCON sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

RCON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RCON's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Recon Technology Ltd. (Class A) (RCON)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is RCON stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for RCON, spanning a range between $1 and $1.17.

Direct Sub-Reports: RCON RQD Cockpit RCON 12M Forecast RCON Earnings & Move RCON Dividends & DRIP RCON Insiders & 13F RCON Whale Options RCON Profit Sankey RCON News & Why