Stock Ratings / Industrials / PLOW / earnings

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Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.5% Move

$39.83 +0.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.95

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (27% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $919.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PLOW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PLOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (NYSE: PLOW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $39.83 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $919.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, PLOW ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PLOW compare to ASTE and MTW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), PLOW carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 26.6%, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, ASTE (Astec Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.7x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $918.9M) and MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 119.2x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $858.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLOW?

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Per PLOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001287213), Douglas Dynamics Inc. generated $656.1M in revenue (+15.4% YoY), $46.9M in net income, and $63.9M in free cash flow against $626.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.95 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 9.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PLOW SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($63.9M FCF) & 26.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$39.19+0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$39.54+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$39.80+0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$39.83+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PLOW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, PLOW faces multiple-compression risk if 19.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.27) or 200D SMA ($43.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.34) toward Bear Floor ($32.66).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PLOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.5% Swing Band

±$1.79 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PLOW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $2.03 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.4%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$656.1M	$46.9M	$63.9M	26.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$568.5M	$56.2M	$33.4M	25.8%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$568.2M	$23.7M	$12.5M	26.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PLOW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PLOW
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PLOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.66%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $39.65H $40.02L $38.87C $39.83VOL 193.5K

RES: $40.18SUP: $38.32SMA50: $40.27SMA200: $43.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PLOW Butterfly Map → + Track PLOW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLOW)

Industrials Rank #49 of 485 ⚔️ ASTE vs PLOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (PLOW vs. ASTE, MTW, WNC, HY)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) ranks #49 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #260 by equity capitalization ($919.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PLOW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PLOW ACTIVE Douglas Dynamics Inc.	B	72/100	19.6x	26.6%	20.7%	+0.33%	$919.2M	Benchmark Subject
ASTE Astec Industries Inc.	C	62/100	23.7x	26.5%	5.6%	+2.41%	$918.9M	/aste-vs-plow →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D-	41/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.81%	$858.3M	/mtw-vs-plow →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	31.2%	-4.05%	$540.2M	/wnc-vs-plow →
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	0.00%	$526.1M	/hy-vs-plow →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001287213

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) reported GAAP revenue of $656.1M (+15.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $568.5M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.9M, operating cash flow of $74.7M, and free cash flow of $63.9M (+91.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLOW closed FY2025 with $626.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$656.1M	$46.9M	$74.7M	$63.9M	$626.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$568.5M	$56.2M	$41.1M	$33.4M	$590.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$568.2M	$23.7M	$12.5M	$12.5M	—	—

3. PLOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PLOW compare to ASTE and MTW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLOW?

Where is PLOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLOW last traded at $39.83 (+0.33% on volume of 156,359 shares), positioning the stock -1.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.27) and -7.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.06). Across its 52-week range of $28.52 to $55.00, PLOW sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($38.04 to $41.62).

PLOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PLOW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PLOW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.5% event move for PLOW, spanning a range between $38.04 and $41.62.

Direct Sub-Reports: PLOW RQD Cockpit PLOW 12M Forecast PLOW Earnings & Move PLOW Dividends & DRIP PLOW Insiders & 13F PLOW Whale Options PLOW Profit Sankey PLOW News & Why