Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.80 -5.26% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.85B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (-5.26% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #957 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPEN compare to GTY and NMRK in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?
β–Ό

Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78 (-1.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 23.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OPEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OPEN SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.7% FCF Margin ($1.04B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.09-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$2.05-5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$1.93-6.7% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$1.80-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OPEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While OPEN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.52) and Max Pain ($1.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.92.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPENβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOPEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OPEN Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OPEN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OPEN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OPEN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of OPEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OPEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.91%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.91H $1.91L $1.80C $1.80VOL 32.89M
RES: $2.02SUP: $1.54SMA50: $2.52SMA200: $4.19
$6.43$5.16$3.90$2.63$1.37RES $2.02SUP $1.54$1.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPEN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPEN)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OPEN vs. GTY, NMRK, BXDC, EFC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) ranks #957 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #442 by equity capitalization ($1.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OPEN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPEN ACTIVE
Opendoor Technologies Inc
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -5.26% $1.85B Benchmark Subject
GTY
Getty Realty Corporation
D+ 58/100 23.8x β€” 9.4% -0.25% $1.88B /gty-vs-open β†’
NMRK
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 16.3x β€” 9.7% +1.23% $2.06B /nmrk-vs-open β†’
BXDC
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.90% $1.63B /bxdc-vs-open β†’
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
D- 36/100 10.1x β€” 8.2% -3.55% $1.52B /efc-vs-open β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001801169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.37B (-15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.15B , and -37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.30B, operating cash flow of $1.05B, and free cash flow of $1.04B (+267.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPEN closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.37B -$1.30B $1.05B $1.04B $2.41B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.15B -$392.0M -$595.0M -$620.0M $3.13B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.95B -$275.0M $2.34B $2.34B β€” β€”

3. OPEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (-5.26% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #957 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPEN compare to GTY and NMRK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?

Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPEN last traded at $1.80 (-5.26% on volume of 31,961,125 shares), positioning the stock -28.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.52) and -57.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.19). Across its 52-week range of $1.76 to $9.45, OPEN sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.57 to $2.03).

OPEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are OPEN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies OPEN leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OPEN β€” Opendoor Technologies Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OPEN carries an RQD Score of 37 and a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. The pillar notes ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this indicates that the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital, and the market is not being offered a cash yield at the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score this low suggests limited supportive institutional flow in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score means insider and congressional flow is not providing a supportive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The pillar notes Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the market per this beta, but the rating assigns limited regime-fit support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. The pillar cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These figures sit in a middle zone: not distressed on these measures, but not strong.

Investor implications: Upside drivers in this framework would have to come from a turnaround in operating income and free cash flow, which the financials do not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with no reported P/E, EPS, or EV/EBITDA in the source data, the stock cannot be anchored to conventional earnings multiples. The price of $1.9 sits near the 52-week low of $1.76 and well below the high of $9.45, so the stock's trajectory has been sharply negative. Investors should weigh the low pillar scores, particularly flow and insider conviction, as evidence that supportive signals are absent.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4371.0M$-287.0M$-1300.0MN/A$1037.0M$962.0MN/A
FY 2024$5153.0M$-320.0M$-392.0MN/A$-620.0M$671.0MN/A
FY 2023$6946.0M$-386.0M$-275.0MN/A$2344.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, and operating income was negative in each. Per the market data, operating margin is -6.6%, net margin is -29.7%, and ROIC is -35%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Current debt figures are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items are as follows:

  • Green / CATALYST: A Yahoo Finance report on OPEN rebounding from a record low, citing "two catalysts" that could drive its next move. The catalysts themselves are not detailed in the source data.
  • Red / RISK WATCH: A 24/7 Wall St. report on the stock being down 64% this year, framed as a possible falling knife.
  • Yellow / MARKET WIRE: Reports from The Motley Fool (down by half in 2026), TradingView (plunge to 52-week lows alongside RKT and SMR), Yahoo Finance (valuation on current sales), and Simply Wall St (forecast and analyst predictions).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the "two catalysts" cited in the Yahoo Finance rebound report, and what do they consist of?
  • What is the source of the revenue decline from $6946.0M to $4371.0M, and is it operational or structural?
  • What are current debt and EPS figures, given that these are N/A in the FY 2025 financials?
  • What supply-chain or sector dependencies, if any, link OPEN to peers referenced in the news feed?
  • What insider, institutional, or congressional positions exist, given that the holders section is empty?

OPEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OPEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OPEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.80?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OPEN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OPEN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.67 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OPEN (D- β€’ RQD 37/100) a Buy at $1.90?

Welcome to the OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.48 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $1.90

Pump the brakes on OPEN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OPEN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Opendoor Technologies Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.28 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $1.90

OPEN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OPEN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.90 (52-wk range $1.76 - $9.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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