Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.90 -0.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.89

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.89 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 23.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OPEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPEN SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.7% FCF Margin ($1.04B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$2.22-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.12-6.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$1.98-4% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.90-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OPEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OPEN currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.55) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OPEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OPEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OPEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.68%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.86H $1.90L $1.76C $1.90VOL 31.81M
RES: $5.03SUP: $1.73SMA50: $2.55SMA200: $4.21
$6.43$5.16$3.90$2.63$1.37RES $5.03SUP $1.73$1.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPEN)

Financials Rank #943 of 1096 ⚔️ GTY vs OPEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OPEN vs. GTY, NMRK, BXDC, EFC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) ranks #943 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #442 by equity capitalization ($1.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with OPEN at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPEN ACTIVE
Opendoor Technologies Inc
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -0.52% $1.85B Benchmark Subject
GTY
Getty Realty Corporation
B 74/100 23.8x — 9.4% +1.89% $1.88B /gty-vs-open →
NMRK
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)
C 64/100 16.3x — 9.7% -5.64% $2.06B /nmrk-vs-open →
BXDC
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.
C 62/100 — — — +0.37% $1.63B /bxdc-vs-open →
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
D 51/100 10.1x — 8.2% +0.77% $1.52B /efc-vs-open →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001801169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.37B (-15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.15B , and -37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.30B, operating cash flow of $1.05B, and free cash flow of $1.04B (+267.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPEN closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.37B -$1.30B $1.05B $1.04B $2.41B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.15B -$392.0M -$595.0M -$620.0M $3.13B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.95B -$275.0M $2.34B $2.34B — —

3. OPEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-0.52% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #943 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPEN compare to GTY and NMRK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?

Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPEN last traded at $1.90 (-0.52% on volume of 32,893,917 shares), positioning the stock -25.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.55) and -54.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.21). Across its 52-week range of $1.76 to $9.46, OPEN sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

OPEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does OPEN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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